Second, in order for the theory of change for the wide range of mainstreaming to
work, one can hypothesize, as part of the necessary contextual conditions, that
relevant ministries and stakeholders should be highly aware of the climate risks and
the vital importance of reducing vulnerability. A relevant contextual condition that
is applicable for this theory of change is where government officials understand the
actual need to integrate CCA issues in their business-as-usual activities. A case of
Zimbabwe described the situation that, even though relevant and technical support
was introduced, senior government officials did not fully appreciate the significance
of such support, which thus did not yield a positive IO.
The third theory of change is about the raised level of awareness amongst the
general public and government staff, since the level of awareness amongst them is
considered key to achieving a high level of effectiveness. A relevant contextual
condition for this theory of change that may alter the results of IO (i.e. high/low
level of awareness) is that the general public is relatively unaware or lack knowledge of climate change risks. This condition should also be recognized as an
important baseline situation under which planned interventions may trigger the
corresponding programme theory in generating a positive IO. A set of identified
CMO configurations for effectiveness criterion is shown in Table 13.5.
13.6.4 Context for Sustainability
For this criterion, a high likelihood for sustaining built adaptive capacity and high
utilisation level of adaptive measures introduced is considered to be one of the
important IOs. In order for the corresponding theory of change for this IO to work, it
is first necessary for the introduced adaptive capacities and measures to be those
types that are needed and requested by end-users themselves (which was not the
case in Mozambique). Sustained political interest towards the CCA programme’s
intended objectives also need be present as another contextual condition that helps
this theory of change to exercise its generative power.
Another IO that can contribute to achieving a high level of effectiveness is high
likelihood for sustained, high level stakeholder engagement. One hypothesis for the
contextual condition is where beneficiaries on the ground and government continue
to be present and see the need and benefits in engaging themselves in the CCA
programme’s intended objectives. This context can be hypothesized since there was
one country case (Egypt) where the ultimate beneficiaries of the CCA programme,
i.e. farmers, had not been in the programme activity process, which has negatively
contributed to the sustainability element of this programme. Under such circumstances, though the corresponding implementation theory was held in all the
programmes, the programme theory did not get to generate a positive outcome, if
such contextual condition was not met.
The third IO in this criterion is about sustained level of mainstreaming at central
policy and planning level. The corresponding implementation theory makes
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work, one can hypothesize, as part of the necessary contextual conditions, that
relevant ministries and stakeholders should be highly aware of the climate risks and
the vital importance of reducing vulnerability. A relevant contextual condition that
is applicable for this theory of change is where government officials understand the
actual need to integrate CCA issues in their business-as-usual activities. A case of
Zimbabwe described the situation that, even though relevant and technical support
was introduced, senior government officials did not fully appreciate the significance
of such support, which thus did not yield a positive IO.
The third theory of change is about the raised level of awareness amongst the
general public and government staff, since the level of awareness amongst them is
considered key to achieving a high level of effectiveness. A relevant contextual
condition for this theory of change that may alter the results of IO (i.e. high/low
level of awareness) is that the general public is relatively unaware or lack knowledge of climate change risks. This condition should also be recognized as an
important baseline situation under which planned interventions may trigger the
corresponding programme theory in generating a positive IO. A set of identified
CMO configurations for effectiveness criterion is shown in Table 13.5.
13.6.4 Context for Sustainability
For this criterion, a high likelihood for sustaining built adaptive capacity and high
utilisation level of adaptive measures introduced is considered to be one of the
important IOs. In order for the corresponding theory of change for this IO to work, it
is first necessary for the introduced adaptive capacities and measures to be those
types that are needed and requested by end-users themselves (which was not the
case in Mozambique). Sustained political interest towards the CCA programme’s
intended objectives also need be present as another contextual condition that helps
this theory of change to exercise its generative power.
Another IO that can contribute to achieving a high level of effectiveness is high
likelihood for sustained, high level stakeholder engagement. One hypothesis for the
contextual condition is where beneficiaries on the ground and government continue
to be present and see the need and benefits in engaging themselves in the CCA
programme’s intended objectives. This context can be hypothesized since there was
one country case (Egypt) where the ultimate beneficiaries of the CCA programme,
i.e. farmers, had not been in the programme activity process, which has negatively
contributed to the sustainability element of this programme. Under such circumstances, though the corresponding implementation theory was held in all the
programmes, the programme theory did not get to generate a positive outcome, if
such contextual condition was not met.
The third IO in this criterion is about sustained level of mainstreaming at central
policy and planning level. The corresponding implementation theory makes
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T. Miyaguchi and J.I. Uitto
