when nuclear power plants’ shut-down happens. Immediately after disruption,
demand saving happens at peak time (11:00–18:00), and then, the construction of
alternative power source can been seen in 2027 to compensate for the supply
capacity loss. These policies highlight the resourcefulness of the system to
addresses the nuclear power plants’ shut-down. It should be noted that the construction of alternative power source minimizes the resilient triangle expressed in
Fig. 5 under economic constraints.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
GW
Scenario 1
Battery
Pumped
Oil
LNG ST
LNG CC
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
GW
Reference Case
Battery
Pumped
Oil
LNG ST
LNG CC
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Fig. 4 Estimated capacity mix from 2012 to 2030
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
GW
Case1
Case2
Construction of
alternative power source
Disruption
Recovery
Fig. 5 Power supply
capacity
Evaluation of Optimal Power Generation Mix …
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