4 Demographic Change and Land Use
69
amount of new land zoned for settlement areas is recommended, alongside measures
to increase the availability of unused urban spaces. The sources contain numerous
recommendations for sustainable land management (at local and regional levels) and
for management tools and incentives (Dosch and Bergmann 2005; Bürkner et al.
2007; BMVBS and BBSR 2009; Weith 2009; BBSR 2011; Bock et al. 2011).
4.3.5 General Effects of Demographic Change in the Activity
Sectors
In addition to the specific impacts of demographic change on land use in the activity
sectors targeted by the review, the sources also describe the general effects of demographic change in these sectors. The following key effects were observed (Heiland
et al. 2004; Wiener et al. 2004; Heiland et al. 2005; FGSV 2006; Petermann et al.
2006; TLL 2006; Oeltze et al. 2007; Rudolph et al. 2007; Schröder et al. 2007; Wurz
2007; Grimm et al. 2009a; Knie and Canzler 2009; Thoroe 2009; IG BAU 2014):
• changes in demand for agricultural, forestry, and tourism products (extent, structure, and quality) and changes in transportation-related demand (extent, structure,
and distribution over space and time) as a result of decreasing population sizes
and changing population structures
• labor and skills shortages as a result of decreasing population sizes and changing
population structures
• regionally differentiated changes in core concepts and values (for example,
guiding principles in forest management and nature conservation, or principles of
spatial planning such as equal living conditions)
• diminishing public funds, associated with a diminishing scope for control and
guidance.
A common feature of all the findings and recommendations is that they provide
no—or only very vague—indications of whether the type and intensity of land use
will change at some further, future stage, and if so, what form that change might
take.
The following approaches regarding the management of or response to general
effects can be found in the literature (Wiener et al. 2004; TLL 2006; TLL 2007;
Grimm et al. 2009b; BMELV 2011; IG BAU 2014):
• rationalization and improvement of labor productivity
• marketing and PR work aimed at developing new markets and positioning products
and services in the context of new challenges
• training and retraining programs as a counter-strategy to labor and skills shortages
• cooperation and cross-sector approaches to action.
69
amount of new land zoned for settlement areas is recommended, alongside measures
to increase the availability of unused urban spaces. The sources contain numerous
recommendations for sustainable land management (at local and regional levels) and
for management tools and incentives (Dosch and Bergmann 2005; Bürkner et al.
2007; BMVBS and BBSR 2009; Weith 2009; BBSR 2011; Bock et al. 2011).
4.3.5 General Effects of Demographic Change in the Activity
Sectors
In addition to the specific impacts of demographic change on land use in the activity
sectors targeted by the review, the sources also describe the general effects of demographic change in these sectors. The following key effects were observed (Heiland
et al. 2004; Wiener et al. 2004; Heiland et al. 2005; FGSV 2006; Petermann et al.
2006; TLL 2006; Oeltze et al. 2007; Rudolph et al. 2007; Schröder et al. 2007; Wurz
2007; Grimm et al. 2009a; Knie and Canzler 2009; Thoroe 2009; IG BAU 2014):
• changes in demand for agricultural, forestry, and tourism products (extent, structure, and quality) and changes in transportation-related demand (extent, structure,
and distribution over space and time) as a result of decreasing population sizes
and changing population structures
• labor and skills shortages as a result of decreasing population sizes and changing
population structures
• regionally differentiated changes in core concepts and values (for example,
guiding principles in forest management and nature conservation, or principles of
spatial planning such as equal living conditions)
• diminishing public funds, associated with a diminishing scope for control and
guidance.
A common feature of all the findings and recommendations is that they provide
no—or only very vague—indications of whether the type and intensity of land use
will change at some further, future stage, and if so, what form that change might
take.
The following approaches regarding the management of or response to general
effects can be found in the literature (Wiener et al. 2004; TLL 2006; TLL 2007;
Grimm et al. 2009b; BMELV 2011; IG BAU 2014):
• rationalization and improvement of labor productivity
• marketing and PR work aimed at developing new markets and positioning products
and services in the context of new challenges
• training and retraining programs as a counter-strategy to labor and skills shortages
• cooperation and cross-sector approaches to action.