59
Table 5.5 (continued)
Periods Projections
Almaty Akmola Aktobe Atyrau
East
Kazakhstan Mangystau
North
Kazakhstan Pavlodar Karagandy Kostanay Kyzylorda
South
Kazakhstan
West
Kazakhstan Zhambyl
2070s GISSE2H-2.6
690
634
433
302
830
178
741
557
411
582
217
609
481
507
Change, %
29
31
45
47
31
51
32
31
46
37
53
32
24
46
GISSE2H-8.5
904
836
524
341
1127
185
930
731
576
747
274
705
530
637
Change, %
69
73
75
66
78
57
65
73
104
76
92
53
37
84
HadGEM2ES-2.6 724
626
396
314
809
141
775
550
409
596
187
620
505
498
Change, %
36
29
33
53
27
19
38
30
45
40
32
35
30
44
HadGEM2ES-8.5 794
719
428
333
943
167
896
616
457
664
219
773
542
590
Change, %
48
48
43
62
49
42
60
45
62
56
54
68
40
70
NorESM1M-2.6 558
537
372
257
657
147
645
440
306
520
155
463
452
363
Change, %
4
11
25
25
3
25
15
4
8
22
9
1
17
5
NorESM1M-8.5 565
500
312
209
640
133
593
415
279
469
145
460
380
355
Change, %
6
3
4
2
1
13
5
−2
−1
10
2
0
−2
3
Mean baseline and estimated rainfall erosivity (MJ mm ha
−1
h
−1
year
−1
) by GISSE2H, HadGEM2ES, and NorESM1M with RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 emission
scenario models. Projected change concerning baseline (%)
5.3 Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Rainfall Erosivity