consumption will decline to 300 Mt in 2020, 60
Mt in 2030, and if the almost complete replacement of scattered coal is achieved, to 10 Mt in
2050; and (iii) in the Low SEGFSC scenario,
scattered coal consumption will decrease gradually to 500 Mt in 2020, 300 Mt in 2030 and 200
Mt in 2050.
Based on the assumption that electricity and
natural gas each have a 50% share in SEGFSC,
and that the efficiency of gas-fired boilers is 90%
and the energy efficiency ratio of electric heating
is 3.2, demand for electricity and natural gas in
the three SEGFSC scenarios is calculated as
shown in (Table 10).
Fig. 54 China’s use of scattered coal by sector in 2015
Fig. 55 China’s scattered
coal consumption in three
SEGFSC scenarios
Special Report 1: A Study of China’s Energy Supply Revolution
141
Mt in 2030, and if the almost complete replacement of scattered coal is achieved, to 10 Mt in
2050; and (iii) in the Low SEGFSC scenario,
scattered coal consumption will decrease gradually to 500 Mt in 2020, 300 Mt in 2030 and 200
Mt in 2050.
Based on the assumption that electricity and
natural gas each have a 50% share in SEGFSC,
and that the efficiency of gas-fired boilers is 90%
and the energy efficiency ratio of electric heating
is 3.2, demand for electricity and natural gas in
the three SEGFSC scenarios is calculated as
shown in (Table 10).
Fig. 54 China’s use of scattered coal by sector in 2015
Fig. 55 China’s scattered
coal consumption in three
SEGFSC scenarios
Special Report 1: A Study of China’s Energy Supply Revolution
141