30 K. HASEGAWA
1.7% Yearly
economic
growth
Energy efficiency,
conservation, and
renewable energy
accounts for 40%
Electric power
966.6 billion kWh
Electric power
980.8 billion kWh
FY 2013
(Actual value)
FY2030
Electric power demand
Power source mix
Oil: 2%
Oil 3%
Coal: 22%
Coal: 26%
LNG: 22%
LNG: 27%
Nuclear
power:
17 -18%
Nuclear
power:
20 -22%
Renewable
energy:
19 – 20%
Renewable
energy:
22 – 24%
FY2030
* Values are approximate
196.1 billion kWh
through energy
efficiency and
conservation. (17%
lower than before
such measures)
(Total power generation)
(Total power generation)
Power
conservation: 17%
1.278 billion kWh
1.065 billion kWh
Hydroelectric
power: 8.8-9.2%
Wind power 1.7%
Solar power 7.0%
Biomass power:
3.7 – 4.6&
Geothermal power:
3.7 to 4.6&
Fig. 2.2 Electric power demand and generation source mix in Japan (Note
Author created figure, with assistance from Mathias Shabanaj Janklila, based on
data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry of Japan [http://www.
meti.go.jp/english/press/2015/0716_01.html])
Figures 2.2 and 2.3 show that the peak of total power generation was
1030 billion kWh and was reached in FY 2007. It then declined 14.1% to
885 billion kWh by FY 2015. 1278 billion kWh in FY 2030 is a drastic
overestimation, representing a 36% increase over the level of electricity
supplied in FY 2013. It is important to keep in mind that Japan is already
experiencing population shrinkage and has low economic growth averaging 0.7% per year between FY 2010 and 2015. The estimated share of
22–20% to be provided by nuclear, 213–234 billion kWh in FY 2030, can
be replaced by power conservation with no carbon emissions. The decoupling of economic growth from electricity consumption, as is the case in
Germany, has already started in Japan. Japan is decoupling of economic
growth and GHG emissions without relying on nuclear power. The peak
1.7% Yearly
economic
growth
Energy efficiency,
conservation, and
renewable energy
accounts for 40%
Electric power
966.6 billion kWh
Electric power
980.8 billion kWh
FY 2013
(Actual value)
FY2030
Electric power demand
Power source mix
Oil: 2%
Oil 3%
Coal: 22%
Coal: 26%
LNG: 22%
LNG: 27%
Nuclear
power:
17 -18%
Nuclear
power:
20 -22%
Renewable
energy:
19 – 20%
Renewable
energy:
22 – 24%
FY2030
* Values are approximate
196.1 billion kWh
through energy
efficiency and
conservation. (17%
lower than before
such measures)
(Total power generation)
(Total power generation)
Power
conservation: 17%
1.278 billion kWh
1.065 billion kWh
Hydroelectric
power: 8.8-9.2%
Wind power 1.7%
Solar power 7.0%
Biomass power:
3.7 – 4.6&
Geothermal power:
3.7 to 4.6&
Fig. 2.2 Electric power demand and generation source mix in Japan (Note
Author created figure, with assistance from Mathias Shabanaj Janklila, based on
data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry of Japan [http://www.
meti.go.jp/english/press/2015/0716_01.html])
Figures 2.2 and 2.3 show that the peak of total power generation was
1030 billion kWh and was reached in FY 2007. It then declined 14.1% to
885 billion kWh by FY 2015. 1278 billion kWh in FY 2030 is a drastic
overestimation, representing a 36% increase over the level of electricity
supplied in FY 2013. It is important to keep in mind that Japan is already
experiencing population shrinkage and has low economic growth averaging 0.7% per year between FY 2010 and 2015. The estimated share of
22–20% to be provided by nuclear, 213–234 billion kWh in FY 2030, can
be replaced by power conservation with no carbon emissions. The decoupling of economic growth from electricity consumption, as is the case in
Germany, has already started in Japan. Japan is decoupling of economic
growth and GHG emissions without relying on nuclear power. The peak