Fig. 6.1 Mainland China, prediction 1. Results of calculations and verification. Numbers of
infected I (green line), susceptible S (red line) and removed R (black line) persons versus time in
days (starting from January 16, 2020); the blue line represents the number of victims V = I + R;
blue markers show the “tested confirmed cases” W j ([2], Table 1.2); the “circles” correspond to the
points used for calculations (it was supposed that V j = W j ); “stars”—to the points used only for
verification
Fig. 6.2 Mainland China, prediction 1 (line) and numbers of cases from NHC [2] (markers). Line
represents V = I + R dependence, calculated with the use of optimal parameters shown in
Table 6.1 (prediction 1); “circles” show the “tested confirmed cases” W j for the period from
January 16 to February 9, 2020 ([2], Table 1.2) used for calculations; “stars” correspond to the
“tested confirmed cases” W j for the period February 10–14, 2020 [2]; “crosses” represent the sum
W j + Q j from [2]
6.1 Mainland China
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