16 Potential Transboundary Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian …
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Fig. 15 Scenarios: (165) 38 (15)/(6,10)
Fig. 16 Scenarios: (165) 38 (15)/(6,10) with deficit in the shares of Egypt and Sudan
Figure 17 assumes a series of flows at the beginning of the filling period of
6 years with a 10-year annual average equal to 38 BCM/year (similar to the period
from 1978 to 1987), which was the lowest 10-year historical average, and coinciding
with a HAD reservoir level at the beginning of this series at about 170 m (equivalent
to HAD storage of about 99 BCM). This scenario assumes the annual operation
at 25 BCM minimum storage. Deficit years where Nile water shares of Egypt and
Sudan cannot be met reached about 16 years during the first 20 years of the series of
105 years of the simulated historical flows used.
371
Fig. 15 Scenarios: (165) 38 (15)/(6,10)
Fig. 16 Scenarios: (165) 38 (15)/(6,10) with deficit in the shares of Egypt and Sudan
Figure 17 assumes a series of flows at the beginning of the filling period of
6 years with a 10-year annual average equal to 38 BCM/year (similar to the period
from 1978 to 1987), which was the lowest 10-year historical average, and coinciding
with a HAD reservoir level at the beginning of this series at about 170 m (equivalent
to HAD storage of about 99 BCM). This scenario assumes the annual operation
at 25 BCM minimum storage. Deficit years where Nile water shares of Egypt and
Sudan cannot be met reached about 16 years during the first 20 years of the series of
105 years of the simulated historical flows used.