318
F. E. K. Sato and T. Nakata
a) Forecast of EVB supply for the automotive
industry
b) Forecast of EVB scrapped and recovered from
the ELV
Fig. 22.6 Forecast of EVB supply and recoverability for the Japanese vehicle market
Table 22.1 Supply and recover of EVB from the Japanese vehicle market
Lithium ion battery flow
Year *lncl. exports
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Supply to the automotive
industry (GWh)
17.9
38.5
57.1
64.1
69.1
67.6
65.8
Recovered from the
vehicle fleet (GWh)
0.2
0.5
1.3
3.1
5.4
7.5
8.8
Scrapped from the vehicle
fleet * (GWh)
1.3
3.4
8.6
20.4
35.9
49.9
58.7
Recovered/supply (%)
1.1%
1.3%
2.3%
4.8%
7.8% 11.1% 13.4%
Scrapped/supply * (%)
7.2%
8.9% 15.1% 31.8% 52.1% 73.9% 89.3%