Table 2.1
Average change (%) over the basin in daily maximum temperature based on the ensemble average of projections from
five scenarios
Scenario
(s)
Month!Time
Series#
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
RCP
2.6
2021–2040
3.8653
3.122
3.207
2.8841
2.4481
0.672
3.3794
2.1499
2.2653
2.1987
2.6765
2.8974
2041–2060
4.611
5.2731
4.7511
3.5865
2.0243
0.677
1.991
2.352
2.7585
2.619
2.6411
3.7665
2061–2080
6.259
7.7535
6.2767
4.4325
0.8008
À0.1989
1.9586
2.8087
3.5074
2.6583
2.4565
3.8273
2081–2100
7.2631
9.1063
7.663
4.8106
À0.2171 À1.5932
1.9632
4.2137
3.7971
2.2019
1.9904
4.0255
RCP
4.5
2021–2040
3.7908
3.8483
3.7662
3.2455
2.5677
1.6365
2.6836
1.6563
2.4796
2.8904
2.9185
3.1705
2041–2060
7.0113
6.9841
6.1747
5.0177
2.7023
2.8409
3.3624
3.59
4.0857
3.7971
4.5351
5.6755
2061–2080
8.9732 10.339
8.5405
6.9228
3.542
1.355
3.5868
5.7548
5.2864
4.6322
5.1532
7.0548
2081–2100
11.702
12.93
11.154
7.6784
3.0351
1.3234
3.6775
6.0747
6.5861
4.9935
5.2803
7.435
RCP
6.0
2021–2040
3.2226
3.968
4.1302
3.5163
2.6373
1.1588
3.1737
2.4411
2.6523
3.0643
2.8905
3.0926
2041–2060
5.4993
6.478
6.4698
5.5385
3.3607
1.6507
3.8773
4.0828
4.385
3.4667
3.0242
3.806
2061–2080
8.3187
8.7689
7.3834
4.8936
2.4757
1.5212
3.4806
4.7741
4.7538
3.9843
4.0104
5.7352
2081–2100
11.098
11.959
10.452
7.0826
3.4672
2.3935
4.9069
6.6681
6.6514
5.6591
4.919
7.8966
RCP
8.5
2021–2040
3.8027
3.674
3.6641
3.4197
2.4978
2.2226
3.5359
2.2106
2.9169
2.9125
2.9158
3.2638
2041–2060
8.1648
9.1388
8.0185
6.7569
4.9066
3.1424
4.8662
4.5688
5.6772
5.4279
5.5097
7.3654
2061–2080
13.411
14.028
13.374
10.915
7.0952
6.4982
6.9504
8.3353
8.9864
8.7911
9.3043 11.599
2081–2100
18.81
19.889
17.941
14.348
8.6964
8.1496 11.5
12.48
12.61
12.082
11.639
15.36
2 Regional Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change: A Statistical Downscaling. . .
31
Average change (%) over the basin in daily maximum temperature based on the ensemble average of projections from
five scenarios
Scenario
(s)
Month!Time
Series#
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
RCP
2.6
2021–2040
3.8653
3.122
3.207
2.8841
2.4481
0.672
3.3794
2.1499
2.2653
2.1987
2.6765
2.8974
2041–2060
4.611
5.2731
4.7511
3.5865
2.0243
0.677
1.991
2.352
2.7585
2.619
2.6411
3.7665
2061–2080
6.259
7.7535
6.2767
4.4325
0.8008
À0.1989
1.9586
2.8087
3.5074
2.6583
2.4565
3.8273
2081–2100
7.2631
9.1063
7.663
4.8106
À0.2171 À1.5932
1.9632
4.2137
3.7971
2.2019
1.9904
4.0255
RCP
4.5
2021–2040
3.7908
3.8483
3.7662
3.2455
2.5677
1.6365
2.6836
1.6563
2.4796
2.8904
2.9185
3.1705
2041–2060
7.0113
6.9841
6.1747
5.0177
2.7023
2.8409
3.3624
3.59
4.0857
3.7971
4.5351
5.6755
2061–2080
8.9732 10.339
8.5405
6.9228
3.542
1.355
3.5868
5.7548
5.2864
4.6322
5.1532
7.0548
2081–2100
11.702
12.93
11.154
7.6784
3.0351
1.3234
3.6775
6.0747
6.5861
4.9935
5.2803
7.435
RCP
6.0
2021–2040
3.2226
3.968
4.1302
3.5163
2.6373
1.1588
3.1737
2.4411
2.6523
3.0643
2.8905
3.0926
2041–2060
5.4993
6.478
6.4698
5.5385
3.3607
1.6507
3.8773
4.0828
4.385
3.4667
3.0242
3.806
2061–2080
8.3187
8.7689
7.3834
4.8936
2.4757
1.5212
3.4806
4.7741
4.7538
3.9843
4.0104
5.7352
2081–2100
11.098
11.959
10.452
7.0826
3.4672
2.3935
4.9069
6.6681
6.6514
5.6591
4.919
7.8966
RCP
8.5
2021–2040
3.8027
3.674
3.6641
3.4197
2.4978
2.2226
3.5359
2.2106
2.9169
2.9125
2.9158
3.2638
2041–2060
8.1648
9.1388
8.0185
6.7569
4.9066
3.1424
4.8662
4.5688
5.6772
5.4279
5.5097
7.3654
2061–2080
13.411
14.028
13.374
10.915
7.0952
6.4982
6.9504
8.3353
8.9864
8.7911
9.3043 11.599
2081–2100
18.81
19.889
17.941
14.348
8.6964
8.1496 11.5
12.48
12.61
12.082
11.639
15.36
2 Regional Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change: A Statistical Downscaling. . .
31