577
Table 33.4 Average annual economic impacts estimated for changes in commercial fishing
because of the oil spill, by state (2010–2020)
Alabama Florida Louisiana Mississippi Texas
Gulf
states
Gulf states
model
Employment
117
354
679
84
475 1709
Output
$9.4
$28.4 $54.5
$6.7
$38.1 $137.1
Value added
$4.7
$14.1 $27.1
$3.4
$18.9 $68.2
Labor income
$2.8
$8.5
$16.4
$2.0
$11.5 $41.2
State and local
taxes
$0.8
$2.3
$4.5
$0.6
$3.1 $11.2
Federal taxes
$0.6
$1.9
$3.6
$0.4
$2.5 $9.1
Gulf counties
model
Employment
113
342
656
81
459 1651
Output
$8.6
$25.9 $49.6
$6.1
$34.7 $124.9
Value added
$4.3
$12.9 $24.7
$3.1
$17.3 $62.2
Labor income
$2.6
$8.0
$15.3
$1.9
$10.7 $38.5
State and local
taxes
$0.7
$2.1
$4.1
$0.5
$2.9 $10.4
Federal taxes
$0.6
$1.7
$3.3
$0.4
$2.3 $8.4
Employment is reported as full-time and part-time jobs and all other measures are reported in millions of 2018 dollars
as a result of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill are a loss of roughly 18,000 jobs,
1
$1.4
billion in industry output, $700 million in total value-added or Gross Regional
Product, over $400 million in labor income, over $100 million in state and local tax
revenues, and nearly $100 million in federal tax revenues. Table 33.4 displays the
results on an average annual basis (dividing by the 11 years in the period).
Results from the Atlantis model suggest that disruptions in commercial fishing
activity peak in 2011, and then largely return to the no oil activity levels by 2014,
while actually reaching relatively small negative values indicating higher catch in
the oil scenario. In the peak year, there was an estimated loss of over 6000 jobs.
Annual impacts for both models and for all variables are expected to follow a similar temporal distribution pattern.
33.6.2 Recreational Fishing
For the period 2011–2020, recreational fishing catch and associated expenditures
under the no oil scenario are higher for all years. Results indicate over $600 million
in foregone recreational fishing expenditures over this period as a result of the oil
spill and that recreational expenditures do not return to no oil levels by 2020.
1 Jobs include full-time, part-time, and seasonal positions and are not a measure of full-time equivalents (FTE). Jobs for the multi-year periods represent job-years, i.e., one job for 1 year.
33 Effects of the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill on Human Communities: Catch…
Table 33.4 Average annual economic impacts estimated for changes in commercial fishing
because of the oil spill, by state (2010–2020)
Alabama Florida Louisiana Mississippi Texas
Gulf
states
Gulf states
model
Employment
117
354
679
84
475 1709
Output
$9.4
$28.4 $54.5
$6.7
$38.1 $137.1
Value added
$4.7
$14.1 $27.1
$3.4
$18.9 $68.2
Labor income
$2.8
$8.5
$16.4
$2.0
$11.5 $41.2
State and local
taxes
$0.8
$2.3
$4.5
$0.6
$3.1 $11.2
Federal taxes
$0.6
$1.9
$3.6
$0.4
$2.5 $9.1
Gulf counties
model
Employment
113
342
656
81
459 1651
Output
$8.6
$25.9 $49.6
$6.1
$34.7 $124.9
Value added
$4.3
$12.9 $24.7
$3.1
$17.3 $62.2
Labor income
$2.6
$8.0
$15.3
$1.9
$10.7 $38.5
State and local
taxes
$0.7
$2.1
$4.1
$0.5
$2.9 $10.4
Federal taxes
$0.6
$1.7
$3.3
$0.4
$2.3 $8.4
Employment is reported as full-time and part-time jobs and all other measures are reported in millions of 2018 dollars
as a result of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill are a loss of roughly 18,000 jobs,
1
$1.4
billion in industry output, $700 million in total value-added or Gross Regional
Product, over $400 million in labor income, over $100 million in state and local tax
revenues, and nearly $100 million in federal tax revenues. Table 33.4 displays the
results on an average annual basis (dividing by the 11 years in the period).
Results from the Atlantis model suggest that disruptions in commercial fishing
activity peak in 2011, and then largely return to the no oil activity levels by 2014,
while actually reaching relatively small negative values indicating higher catch in
the oil scenario. In the peak year, there was an estimated loss of over 6000 jobs.
Annual impacts for both models and for all variables are expected to follow a similar temporal distribution pattern.
33.6.2 Recreational Fishing
For the period 2011–2020, recreational fishing catch and associated expenditures
under the no oil scenario are higher for all years. Results indicate over $600 million
in foregone recreational fishing expenditures over this period as a result of the oil
spill and that recreational expenditures do not return to no oil levels by 2020.
1 Jobs include full-time, part-time, and seasonal positions and are not a measure of full-time equivalents (FTE). Jobs for the multi-year periods represent job-years, i.e., one job for 1 year.
33 Effects of the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill on Human Communities: Catch…