542
D. M. Gouda
Kafr El-Sheikh governorate constituting the North Middle Delta Region would
alone lose about 1860 feddan in both cases; protected and unprotected. The average
cropping intensity in Kafr El-Sheikh is 1.82. Therefore, the cropping area to be lost
would be 3385.2 feddan. This area is deducted from the field crops area based on
every field crops share of the total agricultural cropping area in the governorate.
The reduction of the agricultural area due to SLR is to reduce the field crops’
water requirements by 0.04% of the field crops’ water requirements of total Egypt
based on 2015 data that is equivalent to about 16 million m
3 .
Impact on Field Crops’ Production
The agricultural land reduction would affect field crops’ production by reducing the
total field crops’ production by about 3200 tons in Damietta, 3000 tons in Daqahlia,
2800 tons in Sharkia, and 34,200 tons in Kafr El-Sheikh. The strategic crops would
experience reductions, as the cereals production would decrease by 478 tons in Damietta, 868 tons in Daqahlia and 777 tons in Sharkia and about 5995 tons in Kafr
El-Sheikh. Sugar crops production losses would be 232 tons in Damietta, 711 tons
in Daqahlia, 351 tons in Sharkia, and about 10,000 tons in Kafr El-Sheikh due to
the large areas cultivated with sugar beet. The loss of oil crops’ production would
be 0.5 tons in Damietta, 0.7 in Daqahlia, 11.3 tons in Sharkia and 7.1 tons in Kafr
EL-Sheikh.
The total loss of field crops’ production would amount about 0.2% in Damietta,
0.03% in Daqahlia, 0.03% in Sharkia, and 0.34% for Kafr El-Sheikh. Though, the
loss may appear small as a percentage; for the single farmer, the loss would be severe.
Impact on Field Crops’ Net Value
SLR would cause a decrease in the field crops net value of about LE2 million in
Damietta, Daqahlia and Sharkia collectively that is equivalent to about US$280
thousand, while the field crops’ net value loss in Kafr El-Sheikh would be about
LE20 million that equals US$2.5 million.
10
However, the average annual net income loss for the regular farmer would range
between 6 and 8 thousand Egyptian pounds
11 (see Table 4 for selected field crops and
their average net income per feddan by governorate depending on yield per feddan).
The average net income of selected field crops in Damietta would be LE6.5 thousand,
in Daqahlia LE6.4 thousand, in Sharkia LE6.8 thousand and LE7.9 thousand in Kafr
El-Shekih.
10 Calculations are based on the 7.5 exchange rate of 2015.
11 The result of the average net income of the 7 selected field crops in Table 4. These calculations are
based on prices and costs of 2015 before the devaluation of the Egyptian pound in 2017. The crop
net value after reduction is determined as follows: The average LE income per feddan is divided by
average yield per crop in tons per feddan to determine the unit price of the ton. Then the field crop
yield per feddan per governorate in tons is multiplied by the price per ton.
D. M. Gouda
Kafr El-Sheikh governorate constituting the North Middle Delta Region would
alone lose about 1860 feddan in both cases; protected and unprotected. The average
cropping intensity in Kafr El-Sheikh is 1.82. Therefore, the cropping area to be lost
would be 3385.2 feddan. This area is deducted from the field crops area based on
every field crops share of the total agricultural cropping area in the governorate.
The reduction of the agricultural area due to SLR is to reduce the field crops’
water requirements by 0.04% of the field crops’ water requirements of total Egypt
based on 2015 data that is equivalent to about 16 million m
3 .
Impact on Field Crops’ Production
The agricultural land reduction would affect field crops’ production by reducing the
total field crops’ production by about 3200 tons in Damietta, 3000 tons in Daqahlia,
2800 tons in Sharkia, and 34,200 tons in Kafr El-Sheikh. The strategic crops would
experience reductions, as the cereals production would decrease by 478 tons in Damietta, 868 tons in Daqahlia and 777 tons in Sharkia and about 5995 tons in Kafr
El-Sheikh. Sugar crops production losses would be 232 tons in Damietta, 711 tons
in Daqahlia, 351 tons in Sharkia, and about 10,000 tons in Kafr El-Sheikh due to
the large areas cultivated with sugar beet. The loss of oil crops’ production would
be 0.5 tons in Damietta, 0.7 in Daqahlia, 11.3 tons in Sharkia and 7.1 tons in Kafr
EL-Sheikh.
The total loss of field crops’ production would amount about 0.2% in Damietta,
0.03% in Daqahlia, 0.03% in Sharkia, and 0.34% for Kafr El-Sheikh. Though, the
loss may appear small as a percentage; for the single farmer, the loss would be severe.
Impact on Field Crops’ Net Value
SLR would cause a decrease in the field crops net value of about LE2 million in
Damietta, Daqahlia and Sharkia collectively that is equivalent to about US$280
thousand, while the field crops’ net value loss in Kafr El-Sheikh would be about
LE20 million that equals US$2.5 million.
10
However, the average annual net income loss for the regular farmer would range
between 6 and 8 thousand Egyptian pounds
11 (see Table 4 for selected field crops and
their average net income per feddan by governorate depending on yield per feddan).
The average net income of selected field crops in Damietta would be LE6.5 thousand,
in Daqahlia LE6.4 thousand, in Sharkia LE6.8 thousand and LE7.9 thousand in Kafr
El-Shekih.
10 Calculations are based on the 7.5 exchange rate of 2015.
11 The result of the average net income of the 7 selected field crops in Table 4. These calculations are
based on prices and costs of 2015 before the devaluation of the Egyptian pound in 2017. The crop
net value after reduction is determined as follows: The average LE income per feddan is divided by
average yield per crop in tons per feddan to determine the unit price of the ton. Then the field crop
yield per feddan per governorate in tons is multiplied by the price per ton.