Exploring Changes in the Agricultural Calendar as a Response …
253
Legend
The North Coastal zone
The Nile Valley zone
The Western Desert zone
The Inland Sinai and the Eastern Desert zone
Fig. 1 Adaptive management zones in Egypt [22]
and is distinct from northern parts of Egypt to the south. All models have projected
a TX and TN increase to 3 °C with a higher increase in summer than winter.
There is a significant decline over Egypt for the percentage of cold days and nights
under the set of predicted models in the near future, while the percentage of warm
days and nights for the same period is significantly increased.
It was observed that seasons have shifted and shortened. For instance, in Egypt,
the short dry season, which started in August, has shifted to July. Egypt is expected
to experience precipitation declines primarily, with a strong agreement between the
ensembles. Smaller southeast changes are projected.
Changes in temperature and precipitation in Egypt were estimated using General
Circulation Model (GCM). This model is a coupled gas-cycle/climate model that
drives a spatial climate change scenario generator. GCM estimates of temperature
and precipitation changes in Egypt (Table 1).
253
Legend
The North Coastal zone
The Nile Valley zone
The Western Desert zone
The Inland Sinai and the Eastern Desert zone
Fig. 1 Adaptive management zones in Egypt [22]
and is distinct from northern parts of Egypt to the south. All models have projected
a TX and TN increase to 3 °C with a higher increase in summer than winter.
There is a significant decline over Egypt for the percentage of cold days and nights
under the set of predicted models in the near future, while the percentage of warm
days and nights for the same period is significantly increased.
It was observed that seasons have shifted and shortened. For instance, in Egypt,
the short dry season, which started in August, has shifted to July. Egypt is expected
to experience precipitation declines primarily, with a strong agreement between the
ensembles. Smaller southeast changes are projected.
Changes in temperature and precipitation in Egypt were estimated using General
Circulation Model (GCM). This model is a coupled gas-cycle/climate model that
drives a spatial climate change scenario generator. GCM estimates of temperature
and precipitation changes in Egypt (Table 1).