11 Applications of an Oil Drift and Fate Model for Fairway Design
393
Fig. 11.7 Optimized summer-winter (SW), spring-autumn (SA) and all-seasons (CMB) fairways
to Vyborg, Saint Petersburg, Ust-Luga and Sillamäe corresponding to cost function φ maxima, i.e.,
the minima of the probability of coastal hit and the maxima of oil combating time
The combined design (CMB) performs, on average, better for all seasons than the
seasonal designs. As it represents the locations of the maxima of the cost function
of the entire drift simulation ensemble, it is expected to have better performance.
A more realistic evaluation (Table 11.2) cross-examines the fairway designs under
equal conditions by looking at the performance values of the designs for seasonal
and combined maximum patterns. The combined design has generally a better over-
393
Fig. 11.7 Optimized summer-winter (SW), spring-autumn (SA) and all-seasons (CMB) fairways
to Vyborg, Saint Petersburg, Ust-Luga and Sillamäe corresponding to cost function φ maxima, i.e.,
the minima of the probability of coastal hit and the maxima of oil combating time
The combined design (CMB) performs, on average, better for all seasons than the
seasonal designs. As it represents the locations of the maxima of the cost function
of the entire drift simulation ensemble, it is expected to have better performance.
A more realistic evaluation (Table 11.2) cross-examines the fairway designs under
equal conditions by looking at the performance values of the designs for seasonal
and combined maximum patterns. The combined design has generally a better over-