190
Chapter 10: The Evaluation of Forecasts
Figure 10.5: Score as a function of correlation score for three and live equally
likely categories, respectively, based on a large number oE simulations using
a random number generator. The solid curve represents mean results, the
short-dashed curves the plus and minus-one standard deviation interval, and
the long-dashed curves the maximum and minimum results. Panels (a) and
(b) are for the Heidke, (c) and (d) for the modilied Heidke in Table 10.2b,
and (e) and (f) for LEPSCAT. (From Barnston, 1992).
a)
b)
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Chapter 10: The Evaluation of Forecasts
Figure 10.5: Score as a function of correlation score for three and live equally
likely categories, respectively, based on a large number oE simulations using
a random number generator. The solid curve represents mean results, the
short-dashed curves the plus and minus-one standard deviation interval, and
the long-dashed curves the maximum and minimum results. Panels (a) and
(b) are for the Heidke, (c) and (d) for the modilied Heidke in Table 10.2b,
and (e) and (f) for LEPSCAT. (From Barnston, 1992).
a)
b)
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