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H.-J. Bolle, S. I. Rasool, P. Try
Table 1. Mediterranean state variables and processcs potentially affected by changes of global
climate and man's activities on land. A: Impact of global warming on the Mediterranean. B:
Man's impact on regional climate. C: Large scale interactions
Continued
The Mediterranean
X Interdependencies with the General
Oscillation and the
Circulation System, North Atlantic Oscillation and
General Circulation
Indian Monsoon; transport of water vapour across the
Mediterranean area; evaporation depends on wind
velocity
Fl u xes of trace
X Mediterranean as sink or source of carbon
constituents; carbon
budget
Air pollution, air
X
Have important effects not only on human health but
chemistry
also on the surface net radiation
Water exchange with
X Component of the overall water budget of the
North Atlantic and
Mediterranean
Black Sea
Change of biodiversity
X X
In this context regional changes of dominating
agricultural species are of interest as they affect
evaporation
economical development in a globalizing environment and its social consequences,
biodiversity respectively changes of the popUlation of species, and demographic
issues. It seems to be utopia to integrate al topics, processes and forcing factors from
climate to socio-economy and globalization at once in one "Global Change"
approach. Consequently it seems to be advisable to subdivide the problem into
overviewable and presently manageable research fields closely related to GEWEX.
The results of this sectoral research then has to be integrated at a higher level.
In the centre of Fig. 3 the research aspects internal to the Mediterranean basin
are shown in green boxes and its external relationships in the blue box at the right.
The four views at the system which are equivalent with the applied research tool are
shown in the red boxes. The relationship between the five research areas and the
four tools can be described as follows:
The work done by the community working on proxy and instrumentally
primarily operationally measured Mediterranean climate and hydrological data is
the basis for the understanding of the Mediterranean system and for the
improvement of the tools necessary to predict the future.
The analysis of proxy data is the only possibility to establish a long term data
base of paleo-climate changes. These data are needed to document past climate
changes as well as climate variability and to study their causes. The performance of
climate models can be tested against these proxy data and the interaction with
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