Precipitation scenarios in the Central-Western Mediterranean basin
the precipitation amount and this
reduction is stronger at lower latitudes.
iv) The evaluation of De Martonne's
index suggests an expansion of soil
aridity in the future, above all in the
southern areas of the basin where there
is a serious risk of desertification.
References
Fig. 10. As Fig. 8 but for 2030
Abraham B, Ledolter J (1983) Statistical methods for forecasting. Wiley & Sons, pp.445
257
Ben-Gai T, Bitan A, Manes A, Alpert P (1994) Long term changes in annual rainfall patterns in
Southern Israel. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 49 :59-67
Bradley RS , Groisman PYa (1989) Continental scale precipitation variations in the 20 th century. In:
Proceedings of the International Conference on "Precipitation Measurements" , WMO, Geneva,
pp.168-184
Burgos 11 et al. Land use and agrosystem management under severe climatic conditions WMO Tech
Note n.184
Charney JG (1975) Dynamics of desert and drought in the Sahel. Quart. 1. R. Met. Soc., 101: 193-202
Chow VT (1964) Handbook of Applied Hydrology a compendium of water resources technology.
McGraw Hill Book Company
Colacino M, Diodato L, Malvestuto V, in progress
Conte M, Colombo F, Agostinone F (1990) Variazioni climatiche recenti nel Mediterraneo centrale
e scenari climatici possibiJj nella prima parte del 21 mo secolo,. In: Tecnagro E (ed.) Proceedings
of the international seminar on "La modificadel tempo: aspetti scientifici ed operativi". University
of Palermo
Diaz HF, Bradley RS , Eischeid JK (1989) Precipitation fluctuations over global land areas since the
late 1800s. 1. Geoph. Res ., 94:1195-1201
Granger CWJ, Engle RF (1987) Econometric forecasting: A brief survey of current and future
techniques. In: Land KC, Schneider SH (eds.) Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences.
Reidel, Dordrecht, pp. I 17-139
Groisman PY, Easterling DR (1994) Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over
the United States and Canada. 1. of Climate, 7: 184-205
Hansen J, Fung I, Lacis A, Rind D, Lebedeff S, Ruedy R, Russel G (1988) Global climate changes
as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies Three-dimensional model. Jour. of Geoph.
Research, 93 :9341-9364
Henderson-Sellers A, Hansen AM (1995) Climate Change Atlas. Kluwer Academic Publishers,
Dodrecht, pp.160
IPCC-WG I (1995) Scientific Assessment of Climatic Change. WMOIUNEP, Cambridge University
Press
Jones PD, Jonsson T, Wheeler D (1997) Extension of the North Atlantic Oscillation using early
instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int. Jour. of
Climatology, 17: 1433-1446
the precipitation amount and this
reduction is stronger at lower latitudes.
iv) The evaluation of De Martonne's
index suggests an expansion of soil
aridity in the future, above all in the
southern areas of the basin where there
is a serious risk of desertification.
References
Fig. 10. As Fig. 8 but for 2030
Abraham B, Ledolter J (1983) Statistical methods for forecasting. Wiley & Sons, pp.445
257
Ben-Gai T, Bitan A, Manes A, Alpert P (1994) Long term changes in annual rainfall patterns in
Southern Israel. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 49 :59-67
Bradley RS , Groisman PYa (1989) Continental scale precipitation variations in the 20 th century. In:
Proceedings of the International Conference on "Precipitation Measurements" , WMO, Geneva,
pp.168-184
Burgos 11 et al. Land use and agrosystem management under severe climatic conditions WMO Tech
Note n.184
Charney JG (1975) Dynamics of desert and drought in the Sahel. Quart. 1. R. Met. Soc., 101: 193-202
Chow VT (1964) Handbook of Applied Hydrology a compendium of water resources technology.
McGraw Hill Book Company
Colacino M, Diodato L, Malvestuto V, in progress
Conte M, Colombo F, Agostinone F (1990) Variazioni climatiche recenti nel Mediterraneo centrale
e scenari climatici possibiJj nella prima parte del 21 mo secolo,. In: Tecnagro E (ed.) Proceedings
of the international seminar on "La modificadel tempo: aspetti scientifici ed operativi". University
of Palermo
Diaz HF, Bradley RS , Eischeid JK (1989) Precipitation fluctuations over global land areas since the
late 1800s. 1. Geoph. Res ., 94:1195-1201
Granger CWJ, Engle RF (1987) Econometric forecasting: A brief survey of current and future
techniques. In: Land KC, Schneider SH (eds.) Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences.
Reidel, Dordrecht, pp. I 17-139
Groisman PY, Easterling DR (1994) Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over
the United States and Canada. 1. of Climate, 7: 184-205
Hansen J, Fung I, Lacis A, Rind D, Lebedeff S, Ruedy R, Russel G (1988) Global climate changes
as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies Three-dimensional model. Jour. of Geoph.
Research, 93 :9341-9364
Henderson-Sellers A, Hansen AM (1995) Climate Change Atlas. Kluwer Academic Publishers,
Dodrecht, pp.160
IPCC-WG I (1995) Scientific Assessment of Climatic Change. WMOIUNEP, Cambridge University
Press
Jones PD, Jonsson T, Wheeler D (1997) Extension of the North Atlantic Oscillation using early
instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int. Jour. of
Climatology, 17: 1433-1446
