Fig. 10.2 CMIP5 projected SST
change (°C) in a RCP4.5 for
2040–2069, b RCP4.5 for 2070–
2099, c RCP8.5 for 2040–2069
and d RCP8.5 for 2070–2099,
with respect to the reference
period 1976–2005. e Time series
of projected SST anomalies with
the trends (°C/decade) over the
tropical Indian Ocean, in RCP4.5
(blue) and RCP8.5 (red) scenarios
for 2040–2099
Table 10.1 CMIP5 (ensemble mean) projected SST rise (°C) averaged over the tropical Indian Ocean basin (40 °E:115 °E, 30 °S:30 °N) in the
near future (2040–2069) and far future (2070–2099) in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios w.r.t. the reference period 1976–2005
Scenario
Near future
Far future
RCP4.5
1.2 °C (± 0.29 °C)
1.6 °C (± 0.40 °C)
RCP8.5
1.6 °C (± 0.55 °C)
2.7 °C (± 0.64 °C)
10 Indian Ocean Warming
195