36
Ensemble Mean (EM) of climate change projections of: winter(DJF), spring (MAM),
summer (JJA) and autumn (SON) minimum temperature -Bologna
station; scenario A1B (2021:2050-1961:1990) - output of SDs
EM_djf 2021-2050
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
∆T(°C)
8
Probability Density Function
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Climate_djf 1961-1990
Climate_mam 1961-1990
Climate_jja 1961-1990
Climate_son_1961-1990
EM_mam 2021-2050
EM_jja 2021-2050
EM_son_2021-2050
Fig. 1.22 Ensemble Mean (EM) of seasonal changes of minimum temperature projected at
Bologna station (CCAReg model), scenario A1B, 2021–2050 with respect to 1961–1990
PDFs of winter Tmin changes projected by CCAReg model appliyed to 7AOGCMSBologna station, scenario A1B (2021-2050 respect to 1961-1991)
CCAReg_ingv
CCAReg_bccr
CCAReg_egmam_r1
CCAReg_egmam_r2
CCAReg_meto_hc
climate_1961-1990
CCAReg_echam5
CCAReg_ipsl
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Winter Tmin Changes (°C)
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.4
Probability Density Function
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
5
6
Fig. 1.21 Climate change projections of winter minimum temperature-Bologna station, scenario
A1B, 2021–2050
J. Fallmann et al.