Natural Resources, Climate Change
and Governance
Carlos Winograd
Abstract As per the recent 2019 World Population Prospects, the world population
will reach 9.7 billion in 2050, and this rise in population will lead to a 70% increase
in the demand for agricultural production. Given the wrath of climate change and
resource constraints in Asia, Latin America has a comparative advantage in terms of
physical resources which make it the most plausible contender for the role of world
food factory at large, considering value added incorporating biotechnology advances,
logistics and the contribution of new technological development. The paper considers
the local and global governance challenges due to economic and social disruptions,
resulting from this significant opportunity for growth and development in the current
world scenario.
Keywords Climate change · Governance · Population growth · Land use · Water
use
Introduction
As per the recent 2019 World Population Prospects, the world population will reach
9.7 billion in 2050, and this rise in population will lead to a 70% increase in the
demand for agricultural production. Given the wrath of climate change and resource
constraints in Asia, Latin America has a comparative advantage in terms of physical resources which make it the most plausible contender for the role of world
This chapter draws partly on a conference presentation at the 7th AfD/EUDN Conference, “Fragmentation in a globalised world”, hold on December 9th, 2009 in Paris, and Garcette and Winograd
(2009). I thank particularly François Bourguignon, Luis Miotti, Marcos Orteu, Robert Pecoud,
Thierry Verdier and Alejandro Winograd for valuable comments. I am also grateful to participants
in seminars in Paris, London, Montevideo, Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro. This chapter benefited significantly from the assistance and discussions with Resuf Ahmed. I thank particularly Elisa
Belfiori for her comments and the encouragement for the publication in this book.
C. Winograd (B)
Paris School of Economics and University of Paris-Evry Val d’Essone, Paris, France
e-mail: winograd@pse.ens.fr
© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021
M. E. Belfiori and M. J. Rabassa, (eds.) The Economics of Climate Change
in Argentina, The Latin American Studies Book Series,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62252-7_7
129
and Governance
Carlos Winograd
Abstract As per the recent 2019 World Population Prospects, the world population
will reach 9.7 billion in 2050, and this rise in population will lead to a 70% increase
in the demand for agricultural production. Given the wrath of climate change and
resource constraints in Asia, Latin America has a comparative advantage in terms of
physical resources which make it the most plausible contender for the role of world
food factory at large, considering value added incorporating biotechnology advances,
logistics and the contribution of new technological development. The paper considers
the local and global governance challenges due to economic and social disruptions,
resulting from this significant opportunity for growth and development in the current
world scenario.
Keywords Climate change · Governance · Population growth · Land use · Water
use
Introduction
As per the recent 2019 World Population Prospects, the world population will reach
9.7 billion in 2050, and this rise in population will lead to a 70% increase in the
demand for agricultural production. Given the wrath of climate change and resource
constraints in Asia, Latin America has a comparative advantage in terms of physical resources which make it the most plausible contender for the role of world
This chapter draws partly on a conference presentation at the 7th AfD/EUDN Conference, “Fragmentation in a globalised world”, hold on December 9th, 2009 in Paris, and Garcette and Winograd
(2009). I thank particularly François Bourguignon, Luis Miotti, Marcos Orteu, Robert Pecoud,
Thierry Verdier and Alejandro Winograd for valuable comments. I am also grateful to participants
in seminars in Paris, London, Montevideo, Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro. This chapter benefited significantly from the assistance and discussions with Resuf Ahmed. I thank particularly Elisa
Belfiori for her comments and the encouragement for the publication in this book.
C. Winograd (B)
Paris School of Economics and University of Paris-Evry Val d’Essone, Paris, France
e-mail: winograd@pse.ens.fr
© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021
M. E. Belfiori and M. J. Rabassa, (eds.) The Economics of Climate Change
in Argentina, The Latin American Studies Book Series,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62252-7_7
129