2 Review of Socio-Economic Development Pathway Scenarios …
29
A more advance strategy is needed in science communication and dissemination of future climate modelling and uptake of valuable finding to inform policy
and community. This will be particularly useful to serve as a basis for monitoring
and evaluation of Paris Agreement transparency mechanism and SDGs targets and
indicators implementation.
We argued that projection is one of the highly important tools; however, largely
reliable at the global scale rather than regional or national scale. To leverage understanding of high climate variability and change, it is important to raise self-awareness
on adaptation to its impact, including future disasters.
References
Adger WN, Hughes TP, Folke C, Carpenter SR, Rockström J (2005) Social-ecological resilience to
coastal disasters. Science 309(5737):1036–1039
Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across scales.
Global Environ Change 15(2):77–86
Bakkour D, Enjolras G, Thouret JC, Kast R, Mei ETW, Prihatminingtyas B (2015) The adaptive governance of natural disaster systems: Insights from the 2010 mount Merapi eruption in
Indonesia. International journal of disaster risk reduction 13:167–188
Birkmann J, Cutter S, Rothman DS, Welle T, Garschagen M, van Ruijven B, O’Neill BC, Preston
B, Kienberger S, Cardona OD, Siagian T, Hidayati D, Setiadi N, Binder C, Hughes B, Pulwarty R
(2013) Scenarios for vulnerability: opportunities and constraints in the context of climate change
and disaster risk. Climate Change, 1–16
Birkmann J, Cutter SL, Rothman DS, Welle T, Garschagen M, Van Ruijven B, Siagian T (2015)
Scenarios for vulnerability: opportunities and constraints in the context of climate change and
disaster risk. Climatic Change 133(1):53–68
Chen J, Liu Y, Pan T, Liu Y, Sun F, Ge Q (2018) Population exposure to droughts in China under
the 1.5 °C global warming target. Earth System Dyn 9(3):1097–1106
Climate Watch Data (2019) https://www.climatewatchdata.org/contained/countries/IDN. Accessed
18 Mar 2019
Climate Action Tracker (2018) https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/indonesia/. Accessed 7
Mar 2019
CRED, UNISDR (2016) The Human Cost of Weather Related Disasters 1995–2015. https://www.
unisdr.org/2015/docs/climatechange/COP21_WeatherDisastersReport_2015_FINAL.pdf
Cuaresma JC, Lutz W (2016) The demography of human development and climate change
vulnerability: a projection exercise. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 1:241–261
Djalante R, Holley C, Thomalla F (2011) Adaptive governance and managing resilience to natural
hazards. Int J Disaster Risk Sci 2(4):1–14
Fan JL, Liang QM, Liang XJ, Tatano H, Kajitani Y, Wei Y. M. (2014). National vulnerability to
extreme climatic events: the cases of electricity disruption in China and Japan. Natural hazards,
71(3), 1937–1956. Folke, C. (2006). Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social–
ecological systems analyses. Global environmental change, 16(3), 253–267.
Folke C, Carpenter S, Walker B, Scheffer M, Chapin T, Rockström J (2010) Resilience thinking:
integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability. Ecology Soc 15(4)
Freire P, Tavares AO, Sá L, Oliveira A, Fortunato AB, Dos Santos PP, Pinto PJ (2016) A local-scale
approach to estuarine flood risk management. Nat Hazards 84(3):1705–1739
Hoeppe P (2016) Trends in weather related disasters–Consequences for insurers and society.
Weather and climate extremes 11:70–79
Holling CS (1973) Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 4(1):1–23
29
A more advance strategy is needed in science communication and dissemination of future climate modelling and uptake of valuable finding to inform policy
and community. This will be particularly useful to serve as a basis for monitoring
and evaluation of Paris Agreement transparency mechanism and SDGs targets and
indicators implementation.
We argued that projection is one of the highly important tools; however, largely
reliable at the global scale rather than regional or national scale. To leverage understanding of high climate variability and change, it is important to raise self-awareness
on adaptation to its impact, including future disasters.
References
Adger WN, Hughes TP, Folke C, Carpenter SR, Rockström J (2005) Social-ecological resilience to
coastal disasters. Science 309(5737):1036–1039
Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across scales.
Global Environ Change 15(2):77–86
Bakkour D, Enjolras G, Thouret JC, Kast R, Mei ETW, Prihatminingtyas B (2015) The adaptive governance of natural disaster systems: Insights from the 2010 mount Merapi eruption in
Indonesia. International journal of disaster risk reduction 13:167–188
Birkmann J, Cutter S, Rothman DS, Welle T, Garschagen M, van Ruijven B, O’Neill BC, Preston
B, Kienberger S, Cardona OD, Siagian T, Hidayati D, Setiadi N, Binder C, Hughes B, Pulwarty R
(2013) Scenarios for vulnerability: opportunities and constraints in the context of climate change
and disaster risk. Climate Change, 1–16
Birkmann J, Cutter SL, Rothman DS, Welle T, Garschagen M, Van Ruijven B, Siagian T (2015)
Scenarios for vulnerability: opportunities and constraints in the context of climate change and
disaster risk. Climatic Change 133(1):53–68
Chen J, Liu Y, Pan T, Liu Y, Sun F, Ge Q (2018) Population exposure to droughts in China under
the 1.5 °C global warming target. Earth System Dyn 9(3):1097–1106
Climate Watch Data (2019) https://www.climatewatchdata.org/contained/countries/IDN. Accessed
18 Mar 2019
Climate Action Tracker (2018) https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/indonesia/. Accessed 7
Mar 2019
CRED, UNISDR (2016) The Human Cost of Weather Related Disasters 1995–2015. https://www.
unisdr.org/2015/docs/climatechange/COP21_WeatherDisastersReport_2015_FINAL.pdf
Cuaresma JC, Lutz W (2016) The demography of human development and climate change
vulnerability: a projection exercise. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 1:241–261
Djalante R, Holley C, Thomalla F (2011) Adaptive governance and managing resilience to natural
hazards. Int J Disaster Risk Sci 2(4):1–14
Fan JL, Liang QM, Liang XJ, Tatano H, Kajitani Y, Wei Y. M. (2014). National vulnerability to
extreme climatic events: the cases of electricity disruption in China and Japan. Natural hazards,
71(3), 1937–1956. Folke, C. (2006). Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social–
ecological systems analyses. Global environmental change, 16(3), 253–267.
Folke C, Carpenter S, Walker B, Scheffer M, Chapin T, Rockström J (2010) Resilience thinking:
integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability. Ecology Soc 15(4)
Freire P, Tavares AO, Sá L, Oliveira A, Fortunato AB, Dos Santos PP, Pinto PJ (2016) A local-scale
approach to estuarine flood risk management. Nat Hazards 84(3):1705–1739
Hoeppe P (2016) Trends in weather related disasters–Consequences for insurers and society.
Weather and climate extremes 11:70–79
Holling CS (1973) Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 4(1):1–23