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A. Triyanti et al.
capital human development, participation and technology. Challenges are also identified, including the limitation of methodology, availability of data, lack of synergy
between CCA and DRR, lack of interdisciplinarity, space for science–policy interface and political support. Future research on SSPs should pay attention to the aspect
of multi-hazard approaches to climate change impact, emerging technology and its
adverse impacts. We argued that projection is a highly important tool; however,
largely reliable at the global scale rather than regional or national scale. To understand that climate variability and change is high, it is important to raise self-awareness
on adaptation to future disasters.
Keywords Disaster risk reduction · Climate change impact · Socio-economic
scenario · Indonesia
Introduction
Real-Life Problem and Existing Global Policies
Climate change is responsible for the increasing number and intensity of disaster,
especially of hydro-meteorological causes (CRED and UNISDR 2016). There are
growing evidence that certain typology of disasters such as floods, storms, fires and
droughts are increasing due to climate variability and change. The latest WMO report
on the State of Global Climate stated that in 2018, nearly 63 million people were
affected by extreme weather associated with climate change leaving 2 million people
displaced (WMO 2018). This shows that climate variability and change affect both
fast- and slow-onset disaster and are responsible for the loss of lives, livelihoods,
culture and heritage.
One of the latest deadly disaster events is the Cyclone Idai that ripped into Southern
Africa in March 2019. With totalities of more than 1000 human loss and more than 1$
billion US economic loss, the Cyclone Idai event has laid an evidence of how climate
change affects the intensity of tropical storms. It demonstrates the vulnerability and
exposure of low-lying cities and also the disruption of normal weather patterns due
to climate change impact (UNDRR 2019).
In terms of climate change mitigation, the issue of clean energy and emerging
innovation are the core focus of the effort to decarbonize development. There is an
issue of tradeoffs between mitigation and adaptation, and between reducing disaster
risk in the short term and adapting to a long-term climate change impact. For example,
in terms of land use prioritization and policy for conserving resources and ecosystem,
improving health, well-being of communities, while at the same time also promote
the use of clean energy and promoting innovation. These are hard choices to be made
and would require thinking to anticipate the impact of anthropological activities and
disruptive technology, which could increase the risk of adverse climate change impact
and disaster.
A. Triyanti et al.
capital human development, participation and technology. Challenges are also identified, including the limitation of methodology, availability of data, lack of synergy
between CCA and DRR, lack of interdisciplinarity, space for science–policy interface and political support. Future research on SSPs should pay attention to the aspect
of multi-hazard approaches to climate change impact, emerging technology and its
adverse impacts. We argued that projection is a highly important tool; however,
largely reliable at the global scale rather than regional or national scale. To understand that climate variability and change is high, it is important to raise self-awareness
on adaptation to future disasters.
Keywords Disaster risk reduction · Climate change impact · Socio-economic
scenario · Indonesia
Introduction
Real-Life Problem and Existing Global Policies
Climate change is responsible for the increasing number and intensity of disaster,
especially of hydro-meteorological causes (CRED and UNISDR 2016). There are
growing evidence that certain typology of disasters such as floods, storms, fires and
droughts are increasing due to climate variability and change. The latest WMO report
on the State of Global Climate stated that in 2018, nearly 63 million people were
affected by extreme weather associated with climate change leaving 2 million people
displaced (WMO 2018). This shows that climate variability and change affect both
fast- and slow-onset disaster and are responsible for the loss of lives, livelihoods,
culture and heritage.
One of the latest deadly disaster events is the Cyclone Idai that ripped into Southern
Africa in March 2019. With totalities of more than 1000 human loss and more than 1$
billion US economic loss, the Cyclone Idai event has laid an evidence of how climate
change affects the intensity of tropical storms. It demonstrates the vulnerability and
exposure of low-lying cities and also the disruption of normal weather patterns due
to climate change impact (UNDRR 2019).
In terms of climate change mitigation, the issue of clean energy and emerging
innovation are the core focus of the effort to decarbonize development. There is an
issue of tradeoffs between mitigation and adaptation, and between reducing disaster
risk in the short term and adapting to a long-term climate change impact. For example,
in terms of land use prioritization and policy for conserving resources and ecosystem,
improving health, well-being of communities, while at the same time also promote
the use of clean energy and promoting innovation. These are hard choices to be made
and would require thinking to anticipate the impact of anthropological activities and
disruptive technology, which could increase the risk of adverse climate change impact
and disaster.