xvii
Contents
Foreword to the Series
vii
Foreword
ix
1 Introduction
3
Background
3
Objectives
4
An Outline of the Evaluation Procedure
5
Scope
5
2 Evaluation Models
7
Geological Models and Play Defi nitions
7
Statistical Models
11
Concepts Used
14
The Nature of Geological Populations
18
The Beaverhill Lake Play
18
Outliers
21
Correlation between Random Variables
22
Mixed Populations
25
3 Estimating Mature Plays
26
The Superpopulation Model
27
Lognormal Discovery Process Model
27
Nonparametric Discovery Process Model
33
Estimating Pool-Size Distribution for the Beaverhill
Lake Play
34
Lognormal /Nonparametric–Poisson Discovery
Process Model
36
Previous Work
36
The BDSCV Model
38
The Keg River Shelf
39
Remarks
39
Multivariate Discovery Process Model
40
Bivariate Lognormal Distribution for Oil
and Gas Pools
43