Preface
xiii
the contributions and support of his colleagues and assistants. The
methods described herein were developed with Paul C. C. Wang
in the 1980s. Ping Tzeng assisted with computer system developments, and Jui-Yuan Chang later improved the system with the addition of a Windows interface. Many professionals provided valuable
input, including Gerry Reinson, Jim Barclay, Jim Podruski, Tony
Hamblin, Doug Cant, Wendy Warters, Tim Bird, Jack McMillan,
Paul Price, Peter Hannigan, Katrina Olsen–Heiss, Dick Procter,
Gordon Taylor, Yuan-Chen Cheng, Ting-Fang Chou, Ming-Shan
Chen, Ruozhe Qin, Yanmin Shi, Fritz Agterberg, David White, Doug
Klemme, Roy Roadifer, Bill James, Charles Masters, Dick Mast, Don
Singer, Gordon Dolton, Larry Drew, Jack Schuenemeyer, Richard
Sinding-Larsen, Chang-Jo Chung, Bob Crovelli, Henry Coustau,
David Forman, and Gordon Kaufman (all identifi ed in the original
draft of this preface). P. J. was grateful to the Geological Survey of
Canada for many years of support, and he conveyed special thanks
to Miss Hsiu Lun Hsu of Tainan, Taiwan, who prepared the original
text and fi gures upon which this monograph is based. Manuscript
preparation was supported by both the National Science Council of
Taiwan and National Cheng Kung University.
What is P. J.’s legacy? In a world where global crude oil consumption
exceeds 82.4 million barrels (MMbbls) per day and natural gas consumption exceeds 2750 billion cubic meters (BP, 2006), the demands for
better resource management and exploration effi ciency have sparked
new interest in petroleum assessment.
The Geological Survey of Canada continues to use PETRIMES to
inform key national policy decisions and to assist revitalized frontier
exploration. In addition, probabilistic methods fi nd a wider acceptance
and impact. Play defi nitions resulting from the western Canada gas
assessments of the 1990s remain the template for recent assessments
of ultimate conventional petroleum potential. The potential “supply
gap” identifi ed as a result of many Canadian assessments motivated
the Geological Survey of Canada and its partners to provide global scientifi c leadership in the realization of unconventional resources from
natural gas hydrates.
But most important, P. J.’s work of developing newer and sharper
tools for resource assessment that fi nd a new audience in environmental, economic, and policy communities continues at the Geological
Survey of Canada (Chen and Osadetz, 2006; Gao et al., 2000). These
developments provide a legacy of which a considerate gentleman,
xiii
the contributions and support of his colleagues and assistants. The
methods described herein were developed with Paul C. C. Wang
in the 1980s. Ping Tzeng assisted with computer system developments, and Jui-Yuan Chang later improved the system with the addition of a Windows interface. Many professionals provided valuable
input, including Gerry Reinson, Jim Barclay, Jim Podruski, Tony
Hamblin, Doug Cant, Wendy Warters, Tim Bird, Jack McMillan,
Paul Price, Peter Hannigan, Katrina Olsen–Heiss, Dick Procter,
Gordon Taylor, Yuan-Chen Cheng, Ting-Fang Chou, Ming-Shan
Chen, Ruozhe Qin, Yanmin Shi, Fritz Agterberg, David White, Doug
Klemme, Roy Roadifer, Bill James, Charles Masters, Dick Mast, Don
Singer, Gordon Dolton, Larry Drew, Jack Schuenemeyer, Richard
Sinding-Larsen, Chang-Jo Chung, Bob Crovelli, Henry Coustau,
David Forman, and Gordon Kaufman (all identifi ed in the original
draft of this preface). P. J. was grateful to the Geological Survey of
Canada for many years of support, and he conveyed special thanks
to Miss Hsiu Lun Hsu of Tainan, Taiwan, who prepared the original
text and fi gures upon which this monograph is based. Manuscript
preparation was supported by both the National Science Council of
Taiwan and National Cheng Kung University.
What is P. J.’s legacy? In a world where global crude oil consumption
exceeds 82.4 million barrels (MMbbls) per day and natural gas consumption exceeds 2750 billion cubic meters (BP, 2006), the demands for
better resource management and exploration effi ciency have sparked
new interest in petroleum assessment.
The Geological Survey of Canada continues to use PETRIMES to
inform key national policy decisions and to assist revitalized frontier
exploration. In addition, probabilistic methods fi nd a wider acceptance
and impact. Play defi nitions resulting from the western Canada gas
assessments of the 1990s remain the template for recent assessments
of ultimate conventional petroleum potential. The potential “supply
gap” identifi ed as a result of many Canadian assessments motivated
the Geological Survey of Canada and its partners to provide global scientifi c leadership in the realization of unconventional resources from
natural gas hydrates.
But most important, P. J.’s work of developing newer and sharper
tools for resource assessment that fi nd a new audience in environmental, economic, and policy communities continues at the Geological
Survey of Canada (Chen and Osadetz, 2006; Gao et al., 2000). These
developments provide a legacy of which a considerate gentleman,