3 Low-Carbon Transition (Peaking) of Chinese Cities: The Case …
77
Fig. 3.11 Comparison of building energy consumption between Beijing and other regions. Note
National data is quoted from Building Energy Efficiency Research Center of Tsinghua University
(2017), and Beijing’s data is calculated by the authors; The size of the bubbles represents the total
energy consumption of building sector in each region
consumption in the building sector. Under the RP scenario, gas consumption in the
sector will reach 11.4 billion cubic meters in 2035, an increase of 3.5 billion cubic
meters from 2017.
Public and commercial buildings (excluding Urban Heating) is and will continue
to be the primary energy user in the building sector of Beijing until 2035 with a
growing share of energy use. Energy consumption of urban residential buildings
(excluding Urban Heating) would keep rising until 2025 when it hits the plateau and
remains ever since. Energy use of urban heating (UH) would continue with a slight
growth due to expanded access to heating despite falling energy intensity per unit of
heating space. And energy consumption of rural residential buildings would drop as
rural population dwindles, as shown in Fig. 3.12.
3.2.3.2 Oil Consumption from Road Transportation to See Continuous
Decline, Yet that from Aviation Would Rise Fast
In 2017, about 20.53 million tce energy was consumed in the Beijing’s transportation sector (including aviation, postal, railway, cargo transportation, sanitation and
private transport). In the future, the inelastically rising energy demand from city
transportation, coupled with improved energy service, would push up further energy
use in this regard.
According to related plans and policy documents such as Beijing Urban Master
Plan (2016–2035), Three Year Plan to Win the Blue Sky Defense War of Beijing,
Beijing Transportation Development Planning for the 13
th Five-Year Plan Period,
electric vehicles are expected to represent a much larger share in the transportation
system, considering a variety of key factors including change in vehicle ownership,
upgrade of vehicle energy mix, structure adjustment of cargo transportation and
77
Fig. 3.11 Comparison of building energy consumption between Beijing and other regions. Note
National data is quoted from Building Energy Efficiency Research Center of Tsinghua University
(2017), and Beijing’s data is calculated by the authors; The size of the bubbles represents the total
energy consumption of building sector in each region
consumption in the building sector. Under the RP scenario, gas consumption in the
sector will reach 11.4 billion cubic meters in 2035, an increase of 3.5 billion cubic
meters from 2017.
Public and commercial buildings (excluding Urban Heating) is and will continue
to be the primary energy user in the building sector of Beijing until 2035 with a
growing share of energy use. Energy consumption of urban residential buildings
(excluding Urban Heating) would keep rising until 2025 when it hits the plateau and
remains ever since. Energy use of urban heating (UH) would continue with a slight
growth due to expanded access to heating despite falling energy intensity per unit of
heating space. And energy consumption of rural residential buildings would drop as
rural population dwindles, as shown in Fig. 3.12.
3.2.3.2 Oil Consumption from Road Transportation to See Continuous
Decline, Yet that from Aviation Would Rise Fast
In 2017, about 20.53 million tce energy was consumed in the Beijing’s transportation sector (including aviation, postal, railway, cargo transportation, sanitation and
private transport). In the future, the inelastically rising energy demand from city
transportation, coupled with improved energy service, would push up further energy
use in this regard.
According to related plans and policy documents such as Beijing Urban Master
Plan (2016–2035), Three Year Plan to Win the Blue Sky Defense War of Beijing,
Beijing Transportation Development Planning for the 13
th Five-Year Plan Period,
electric vehicles are expected to represent a much larger share in the transportation
system, considering a variety of key factors including change in vehicle ownership,
upgrade of vehicle energy mix, structure adjustment of cargo transportation and