Please pay attention that there are some discrepancies in March 22 and 23 figures
for Italy shown in the beginning of this chapter.
The mortality rates (shown in Table 3.1) were calculated as of March 14, 2020
(see [1]). It can be seen that the figures vary very significantly from country to
country. The mortality rate values also changed greatly over time. Fortunately,
world averages tend to decline. For example, as of March 14, 2020, this figure was
3.5%, and in September 2020 it was about 3%, [1]. In this book, we will not focus
on the differences in mortalities and their time dependences.
Table 3.1 Number of cases in Italy, Spain, France, Germany, Switzerland and USA used for
comparisons and the results of calculations.
Day in
February and
March, 2020
Italy
Germany
France
Spain
Switzerland
USA
t ej
22
76
16
12
2
0
35
0
23
124
16
12
2
0
35
1
24
229
16
12
2
0
53
2
25
322
18
12
2
1
53
3
26
400
21
18
12
1
59
4
27
650
26
38
25
6
59
5
28
888
57
57
32
10
62
6
29
1128
100
57
45
18
62
7
1
1689
129
100
45
24
62
8
2
2036
157
191
114
30
64
9
3
2502
196
212
151
37
108
10
4
3089
262
282
198
56
129
11
5
3858
534
420
257
86
148
12
6
4636
639
613
374
209
213
13
7
5883
795
706
430
264
213
14
8
7375
1112
1116
589
332
213
15
9
9172
1139
1402
1024
332
472
16
10
10,149
1296
1774
1639
491
696
17
11
12,462
1567
2269
2140
645
987
18
12
15,113
2369
2860
2965
858
1264
19
13
17,660
3062
3640
4231
1125
1678
20
14
21,151
3795
4469
5753
1359
1678
21
Mortality rate
(%), March
14, 2020
6.81
0.21
2.04
2.36
0.81
2.44
–
d t
0.549
0.154
0.154
−0.179
0.129
0.312
–
The information is about the confirmed accumulated number of cases from [1]. The corresponding
time moments t ej are shown in the last column. The values corresponding the beginning of the
epidemic outbreak are italicized. The values d t were calculated with the use of formula (3.2)
3 Comparisons of the Early Stages of the COVID-19 …
17
for Italy shown in the beginning of this chapter.
The mortality rates (shown in Table 3.1) were calculated as of March 14, 2020
(see [1]). It can be seen that the figures vary very significantly from country to
country. The mortality rate values also changed greatly over time. Fortunately,
world averages tend to decline. For example, as of March 14, 2020, this figure was
3.5%, and in September 2020 it was about 3%, [1]. In this book, we will not focus
on the differences in mortalities and their time dependences.
Table 3.1 Number of cases in Italy, Spain, France, Germany, Switzerland and USA used for
comparisons and the results of calculations.
Day in
February and
March, 2020
Italy
Germany
France
Spain
Switzerland
USA
t ej
22
76
16
12
2
0
35
0
23
124
16
12
2
0
35
1
24
229
16
12
2
0
53
2
25
322
18
12
2
1
53
3
26
400
21
18
12
1
59
4
27
650
26
38
25
6
59
5
28
888
57
57
32
10
62
6
29
1128
100
57
45
18
62
7
1
1689
129
100
45
24
62
8
2
2036
157
191
114
30
64
9
3
2502
196
212
151
37
108
10
4
3089
262
282
198
56
129
11
5
3858
534
420
257
86
148
12
6
4636
639
613
374
209
213
13
7
5883
795
706
430
264
213
14
8
7375
1112
1116
589
332
213
15
9
9172
1139
1402
1024
332
472
16
10
10,149
1296
1774
1639
491
696
17
11
12,462
1567
2269
2140
645
987
18
12
15,113
2369
2860
2965
858
1264
19
13
17,660
3062
3640
4231
1125
1678
20
14
21,151
3795
4469
5753
1359
1678
21
Mortality rate
(%), March
14, 2020
6.81
0.21
2.04
2.36
0.81
2.44
–
d t
0.549
0.154
0.154
−0.179
0.129
0.312
–
The information is about the confirmed accumulated number of cases from [1]. The corresponding
time moments t ej are shown in the last column. The values corresponding the beginning of the
epidemic outbreak are italicized. The values d t were calculated with the use of formula (3.2)
3 Comparisons of the Early Stages of the COVID-19 …
17