Risk Analysis of Lateral Collision of Military
and Civil Aviation Aircraft Based on Event
Model
Guhao Zhao
1,2(&) , Shaojie Mao
1 , Yi Mao
1 , Xiaoqiang Zhang
2 ,
and Yarong Wu
2
1 State Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Management System and Technology,
Nanjing 210007, Jiangsu, China
zghlupin@163.com
2 Air Traffic Control and Navigation College, Air Force Engineering University,
Xi’an 710077, Shaanxi, China
Abstract. Collision risk analysis is an important part of airspace safety
assessment. Based on Event model, the lateral position deviation probability of
military aircraft is calculated. Combining with the probability model of lateral
position deviation of civil aviation aircraft, the frequency of military aircraft
collision box passing through separation sheet in high slope circling training is
calculated. A collision risk assessment model between training flying aircraft in
military training airspace and aircrafts flying in civil aviation route is constructed. Through the simulation calculation of the lateral collision risk of
military and civil aviation, the size, layout, and use suggestions of military high
slope circling training airspace are obtained, which can provide reference for the
airspace safety assessment.
Keywords: Airspace safety assessment Á Collision risk Á Military training
airspace Á Air route
1 Introduction
In recent years, with the rapid development of civil aviation industry and the rapid
growth of air traffic flow, at the same time, the renewal of Air Force Weapons and
equipment is accelerating, and the demand for airspace for military flight training is
also increasing. This makes the contradiction between military aviation and civil aviation in the demand for space resources increasingly prominent. On the premise of
meeting the requirement of safety target grade, according to the requirement of military
flight training subjects, it is an effective way to solve the contradiction between military
aviation and civil aviation to delimit the airspace scope suitable for training needs and
improve the utilization ratio of airspace.
In the 1960s, Reich first proposed the REICH collision risk model [1], which is
used to analyze the safety of air routes. In 2003, Peter Brooker proposed Event model
Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 61601497).
© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020
Q. Liang et al. (Eds.): Artificial Intelligence in China, LNEE 572, pp. 76–86, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0187-6_9
and Civil Aviation Aircraft Based on Event
Model
Guhao Zhao
1,2(&) , Shaojie Mao
1 , Yi Mao
1 , Xiaoqiang Zhang
2 ,
and Yarong Wu
2
1 State Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Management System and Technology,
Nanjing 210007, Jiangsu, China
zghlupin@163.com
2 Air Traffic Control and Navigation College, Air Force Engineering University,
Xi’an 710077, Shaanxi, China
Abstract. Collision risk analysis is an important part of airspace safety
assessment. Based on Event model, the lateral position deviation probability of
military aircraft is calculated. Combining with the probability model of lateral
position deviation of civil aviation aircraft, the frequency of military aircraft
collision box passing through separation sheet in high slope circling training is
calculated. A collision risk assessment model between training flying aircraft in
military training airspace and aircrafts flying in civil aviation route is constructed. Through the simulation calculation of the lateral collision risk of
military and civil aviation, the size, layout, and use suggestions of military high
slope circling training airspace are obtained, which can provide reference for the
airspace safety assessment.
Keywords: Airspace safety assessment Á Collision risk Á Military training
airspace Á Air route
1 Introduction
In recent years, with the rapid development of civil aviation industry and the rapid
growth of air traffic flow, at the same time, the renewal of Air Force Weapons and
equipment is accelerating, and the demand for airspace for military flight training is
also increasing. This makes the contradiction between military aviation and civil aviation in the demand for space resources increasingly prominent. On the premise of
meeting the requirement of safety target grade, according to the requirement of military
flight training subjects, it is an effective way to solve the contradiction between military
aviation and civil aviation to delimit the airspace scope suitable for training needs and
improve the utilization ratio of airspace.
In the 1960s, Reich first proposed the REICH collision risk model [1], which is
used to analyze the safety of air routes. In 2003, Peter Brooker proposed Event model
Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 61601497).
© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020
Q. Liang et al. (Eds.): Artificial Intelligence in China, LNEE 572, pp. 76–86, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0187-6_9