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M. C. Moseki
6.3 Climate Change, Vulnerability, and Impacts
Weak legal and institutional frameworks lead to weak adaptive capacity. In this
region, poor rural communities are vulnerable to climate change as exemplified by
reduced rainfall and, as a result, low crop yields (i.e., reduction in agricultural output).
This basin is generally projected to become drier in the future. Climate in the
eastern parts, around Mozambique, is driven by conditions in the Indian Ocean;
more study of these dynamics is required.
6.4 Adaptation Measures and Recommendations
The vulnerability of this basin must be assessed to ensure understanding of climate
change. In particular, climate change projections at a more local scale are necessary.
7 Barriers to Mainstreaming of Climate Change
Various factors can limit effective mainstreaming of climate change into water planning and management. Some of the commonly encountered barriers include reluctance by water managers and planners to use climate change projections decrying
the uncertainty in model predictions, the ill-advised notion that climate change will
only occur or threaten people in the distant future, the conflict in time steps wherein
climate change models are often based on daily metrics while hydrological models
are often based on monthly metrics.
Some of the factors may be driven by narrow interests that seek to resist change.
For instance, Le (2018) asserted that policy is difficult to change even in the face
of such serious existential threats as climate change when the political motivation
to maintain the status quo is often stronger than the drive to address challenges.
Limited resources and information are also often a barrier to mainstreaming climate
change. According to the Australian Government (2011), limits to the availability of,
or access to, information as well as funds, expertise, and other capacity necessary to
make appropriate decisions that lead to proportional action are some of the barriers
to mainstreaming of climate change.
8 Conclusions
The Orange-Senqu Basin has been studied in greater depth than any of the other transboundary regions. The next logical steps are for the Commissions of the member
states as well as other stakeholders to incorporate this information and data into
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