Table 1
“Erba medica” (alfalfa) results
WS
Province
Yield
DDD (Stike) Coeff
Tot_yield Strike_30% Strike_40% Tot_pay_out_1 Tot_pay_out_2 Rate_1 (%) Rate_2 (%)
Alexandria
Alexandria
94.06
493.76
0.1894
3256.52
336.53
285.46
153.55
103.07
3.98
2.67
Castehuovo Scrivia
Alexandria
76.77
493.67
0.1546
3147.76
33667
28,940
125.29
84.11
3.98
2.67
Novi Ligure
41r.sandria
33.06
47,621
0.13671
135.554
333.77
286.09
62.05
36.01
4.58
2.68
Ancona
Ancona
8514
355.98
0.2397
3.61431
249.19
213.59
125.22
88.29
3.46
2.44
Novi Ligure
Ancona
10,374 352.72
0.2247
423.339
246.9
211,763
115.09
83.90
2.71
1.97
Benevento
Benevento
6302
47.52
0.1471
2.78475
313.27
26,451
108.50
52.74
3.89
1.39
Anzola del’Emilia
Bologna
97.00
40,617
0.2608
3977.00
234.74
244,136
28.91
10.72
0.73
0.27
Bologna
Bologna
87.69
40,128
2116
339.444
23476
240.65
26.30
9.08
0.73
0.25
Orzinuovi
Brescia
6642
54,755
0.1174
2.72321
383.50
32,471
5.93
–
0.22
0.00
Campobasso
Campobasso
78.52
79,588
2560
3219.12
207.82
179.13
48.53
21.54
1.51
0.67
Petrella Tifernin
Campobasso
74.59
29,628
2432
325.823
207.82
17,413
46.10
20.47
1.51
0.67
Mondragone
Caserta
20,000 392.77
6929
8200.00
274.4
235.66
226.04
97.28
2.76
1.19
Crema
Cremona
107.05 532.62
0.1946
4329.06
372.3
319.57
17.18
0.60
0.39
0.01
Cremona
Cremona
88.27
484.93
0.1762
3619.02
339.45
29,296
33.29
2.83
0.92
408
Alberone
Fans
11,929 434.64
2670
4915.45
30,425
260.78
137.61
75.95
2.50
1.55
Faun
Latina
102.07 493.59
2448
4.13492
282.51
242.15
128.75
79.69
3.06
1.90
Lana
Latina
70.27
345.71
0.1968
2281.12
242.03
20,743
59.50
34.45
2.07
1.20
Suzzara
Mantova
81.25
366.78
2144
323,125
256,475
220.07
75.96
34.89
2.28
1.05
Mania
Milano
84.35
491.47
1661
3.45852
344.03
294.211
18.27
–
0.53
0
Milano
Milano
104.63 499.66
42,077
42130.99
349.76
29,950
38.20
9.34
0.89
0.22
Modena
Modena
11,120 414.12
22,613
4583.64
MSS
24,447
33.00
13.33
0.72
0.29
Cittadella
Padova
101.90 527.51
41,370
4177.32
36,926
31,650
34.73
10.10
0.13
0.24
Parma
Parma
103.05 484.93
2157
4.43024
339.45
29,496
40.75
3.47
0.92
8
Mondolfo
Pesaro Urbino 70.10
356.30
0.1935
227,425
249.41
213.78
99.12
69.62
3.45
2.42
Pesaro
Pesaro Urbino 72.34
382.53
21,231
2366.14
267.77
229.52
47.29
5.17
1.55
0.17
Fionenzoula d’Arda Piacenza
8648
494.29
41,694
454,430
346.03
296.57
44.62
11.03
1.26
0.31
Volterra
Pisa
90.57
446.61
41,963
3.71325
312.63
26,707
51.19
73.47
1.38
0.63
Merano
Ravenna
94.51
376.55
2430
3275.11
26343
225.93
77.46
15.87
1.87
0.41
Cervia
Ravenna
6221
368.65
5649
2575.13
253.06
221.19
43.69
3.68
1.70
0.14
Brescello
Reggio Emilia 102.14 457.40
0.3582
413,736
341.18
292.44
26.99
–
0.64
0.00
(continued)
Assessing Crop Yield and Risk: A New Method …
49
“Erba medica” (alfalfa) results
WS
Province
Yield
DDD (Stike) Coeff
Tot_yield Strike_30% Strike_40% Tot_pay_out_1 Tot_pay_out_2 Rate_1 (%) Rate_2 (%)
Alexandria
Alexandria
94.06
493.76
0.1894
3256.52
336.53
285.46
153.55
103.07
3.98
2.67
Castehuovo Scrivia
Alexandria
76.77
493.67
0.1546
3147.76
33667
28,940
125.29
84.11
3.98
2.67
Novi Ligure
41r.sandria
33.06
47,621
0.13671
135.554
333.77
286.09
62.05
36.01
4.58
2.68
Ancona
Ancona
8514
355.98
0.2397
3.61431
249.19
213.59
125.22
88.29
3.46
2.44
Novi Ligure
Ancona
10,374 352.72
0.2247
423.339
246.9
211,763
115.09
83.90
2.71
1.97
Benevento
Benevento
6302
47.52
0.1471
2.78475
313.27
26,451
108.50
52.74
3.89
1.39
Anzola del’Emilia
Bologna
97.00
40,617
0.2608
3977.00
234.74
244,136
28.91
10.72
0.73
0.27
Bologna
Bologna
87.69
40,128
2116
339.444
23476
240.65
26.30
9.08
0.73
0.25
Orzinuovi
Brescia
6642
54,755
0.1174
2.72321
383.50
32,471
5.93
–
0.22
0.00
Campobasso
Campobasso
78.52
79,588
2560
3219.12
207.82
179.13
48.53
21.54
1.51
0.67
Petrella Tifernin
Campobasso
74.59
29,628
2432
325.823
207.82
17,413
46.10
20.47
1.51
0.67
Mondragone
Caserta
20,000 392.77
6929
8200.00
274.4
235.66
226.04
97.28
2.76
1.19
Crema
Cremona
107.05 532.62
0.1946
4329.06
372.3
319.57
17.18
0.60
0.39
0.01
Cremona
Cremona
88.27
484.93
0.1762
3619.02
339.45
29,296
33.29
2.83
0.92
408
Alberone
Fans
11,929 434.64
2670
4915.45
30,425
260.78
137.61
75.95
2.50
1.55
Faun
Latina
102.07 493.59
2448
4.13492
282.51
242.15
128.75
79.69
3.06
1.90
Lana
Latina
70.27
345.71
0.1968
2281.12
242.03
20,743
59.50
34.45
2.07
1.20
Suzzara
Mantova
81.25
366.78
2144
323,125
256,475
220.07
75.96
34.89
2.28
1.05
Mania
Milano
84.35
491.47
1661
3.45852
344.03
294.211
18.27
–
0.53
0
Milano
Milano
104.63 499.66
42,077
42130.99
349.76
29,950
38.20
9.34
0.89
0.22
Modena
Modena
11,120 414.12
22,613
4583.64
MSS
24,447
33.00
13.33
0.72
0.29
Cittadella
Padova
101.90 527.51
41,370
4177.32
36,926
31,650
34.73
10.10
0.13
0.24
Parma
Parma
103.05 484.93
2157
4.43024
339.45
29,496
40.75
3.47
0.92
8
Mondolfo
Pesaro Urbino 70.10
356.30
0.1935
227,425
249.41
213.78
99.12
69.62
3.45
2.42
Pesaro
Pesaro Urbino 72.34
382.53
21,231
2366.14
267.77
229.52
47.29
5.17
1.55
0.17
Fionenzoula d’Arda Piacenza
8648
494.29
41,694
454,430
346.03
296.57
44.62
11.03
1.26
0.31
Volterra
Pisa
90.57
446.61
41,963
3.71325
312.63
26,707
51.19
73.47
1.38
0.63
Merano
Ravenna
94.51
376.55
2430
3275.11
26343
225.93
77.46
15.87
1.87
0.41
Cervia
Ravenna
6221
368.65
5649
2575.13
253.06
221.19
43.69
3.68
1.70
0.14
Brescello
Reggio Emilia 102.14 457.40
0.3582
413,736
341.18
292.44
26.99
–
0.64
0.00
(continued)
Assessing Crop Yield and Risk: A New Method …
49