Climate Impact on Egyptian Agriculture:
An Efficiency Analysis Approach
Fadi Abdelradi and Dalia Yassin
Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2018 special
report on the implications of 1.5° warming (SR 1.5) concludes that the expected
impacts of the 2° increase are more critical than expected leading to imminent critical tipping points. Additionally, the report indicates that there is a window of only
12 years to take actions to achieve the 1.5° target. While Africa is contributing the
least to global warming by 4% of global greenhouse-gas emissions, it is one of the
vulnerable regions to Climate Change (CC) effects. The objective of this study is
to assess different climatic variables on the technical efficiency of the cereal crops
production in the largest five producing governorates in Egypt. This objective will
be achieved through using panel frontier model to assess the impact of average
maximum temperature, humidity and solar radiation on the wheat, rice and maize
producing governorates. Results of the analysis show that the average maximum temperature and humidity contribute to worsening the technical efficiency of the cereals
producers.
Keywords Climate change · Frontier · Efficiency analysis · Egypt · Panel data
1 Introduction
Both agriculture and CC affect each other. CC affects agriculture in different ways
through changing the intensity, the frequency, and occurrence of events (rainfall,
heat waves, changes in pests and diseases, changes in carbon dioxide, droughts) that
are not common in the location’s history. For example, the increased temperature
has contributed to changes to growing seasons affecting the flowering and harvesting of crops. Agriculture produces Greenhouse Gases emissions (GHGs) due to the
F. Abdelradi (B)
Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Cairo University, 3 Gamaa Street,
Giza 12613, Egypt
e-mail: fadi.abdelradi@agr.cu.edu.eg
D. Yassin
Agricultural Research Centre, Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Giza, Egypt
e-mail: dalia.yassin@hotmail.com
© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
E.-S. E. Omran and A. M. Negm (eds.), Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food
Security in Egypt, Springer Water, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41629-4_24
603
An Efficiency Analysis Approach
Fadi Abdelradi and Dalia Yassin
Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2018 special
report on the implications of 1.5° warming (SR 1.5) concludes that the expected
impacts of the 2° increase are more critical than expected leading to imminent critical tipping points. Additionally, the report indicates that there is a window of only
12 years to take actions to achieve the 1.5° target. While Africa is contributing the
least to global warming by 4% of global greenhouse-gas emissions, it is one of the
vulnerable regions to Climate Change (CC) effects. The objective of this study is
to assess different climatic variables on the technical efficiency of the cereal crops
production in the largest five producing governorates in Egypt. This objective will
be achieved through using panel frontier model to assess the impact of average
maximum temperature, humidity and solar radiation on the wheat, rice and maize
producing governorates. Results of the analysis show that the average maximum temperature and humidity contribute to worsening the technical efficiency of the cereals
producers.
Keywords Climate change · Frontier · Efficiency analysis · Egypt · Panel data
1 Introduction
Both agriculture and CC affect each other. CC affects agriculture in different ways
through changing the intensity, the frequency, and occurrence of events (rainfall,
heat waves, changes in pests and diseases, changes in carbon dioxide, droughts) that
are not common in the location’s history. For example, the increased temperature
has contributed to changes to growing seasons affecting the flowering and harvesting of crops. Agriculture produces Greenhouse Gases emissions (GHGs) due to the
F. Abdelradi (B)
Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Cairo University, 3 Gamaa Street,
Giza 12613, Egypt
e-mail: fadi.abdelradi@agr.cu.edu.eg
D. Yassin
Agricultural Research Centre, Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Giza, Egypt
e-mail: dalia.yassin@hotmail.com
© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
E.-S. E. Omran and A. M. Negm (eds.), Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food
Security in Egypt, Springer Water, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41629-4_24
603