Climate Change, Agriculture and Rural Communities’ …
551
Nile Delta governorates. It shows that the field crops’ cropping area in four Nile Delta
governorates is to decrease, whereas Kafr El-Sheikh and Damietta are to experience
the largest reduction of 0.34% and 0.19% respectively of their cropping area. The
field crops’ production is to decrease in all governorates; however, the decrease is to
be highest in Alexandria and Ismailia with about 13.2% and 12.2% respectively of
their production. The reduction in production leads to a reduction in the field crops’
net value. Thus, the field crops net value reduction is also to be highest in Alexandria
and Ismailia with about 14.5% and 13.4% of their respective field crops’ net value.
In contrast, the lowest percentage of field crops’ production reduction is to be in Kafr
El-Sheikh and Daqahlia with about 7% each, and 8% and 8.3% respective reductions
of their field crops’ net value.
Climate change is to affect all landowners in the Nile Delta governorates. However,
Kafr El-Sheikh and Damietta governorates are to experience the highest reduction
of working days by 0.34% and 0.19% respectively of their total working days.
For the determination of the vulnerability of the Nile Delta governorates and
their farmers, the climate change impacts are reviewed against the governorates’
and farmers’ adaptive capacities (see Table 9 in Annex for a summary of assets in
percent, and Table 17 in Annex for a summary of assests in numbers). The following
paragraphs review governorates and farmers’ assets:
• Rural Population: Beheira, Menufia and Kafr El-Sheikh have the highest percentage of the rural population of their total population with about 82%, 79% and
76% respectively, accounting for about 5 million, 3.4 million, and 2.6 million
people in 2017. In contrast, Alexandria and Ismailia have the smallest rural population accounting for 1.3 and 55.5% of their total population, of about 70 and 700
thousand people respectively in 2017.
• Engagement of Men and Women in Agriculture: A large percentage of the
employed population—over 15 years—in Beheira, Kafr El-Sheikh and Menufia governorates are dependent on agriculture as a main source of income. About
47%, 40% and 33% of the total employed in these governorates are engaged
in agricultural activities that make up about 960 thousand, 400 thousand and 400
thousand farmers respectively, versus about 4.5% and 6.7% engaged in agriculture
in Ismailia and Alexandria accounting for 106 thousand and 92 thousand farmers
of the total employed in the respective governorate in 2016. Furthermore, Menufia, Beheira and Qalyubia have the highest percentage of women’s employment in
agriculture of their total agricultural engagement with about 51%, 45% and 43%,
amounting 200 thousand, 430 thousand and 100 thousand women respectively.
The lowest percentage of women’s engagement is in Alexandria and Ismailia with
about 14.5% and 28% in 2016 that equal 13 thousand and 29 thousand women
respectively.
• Age of Rural Population: The percentage of those less than 45 years in the Nile
Delta governorates is almost the same in all governorates. However, it is highest
in Alexandria and Ismailia with about 90% and 88% respectively accounting for
about 60 thousand and 62 thousand people, while lowest in Qalyubia, Sharkia and
Beheira with about 87.5%, 87.4%, and 87%, nevertheless, accounting for about 3
551
Nile Delta governorates. It shows that the field crops’ cropping area in four Nile Delta
governorates is to decrease, whereas Kafr El-Sheikh and Damietta are to experience
the largest reduction of 0.34% and 0.19% respectively of their cropping area. The
field crops’ production is to decrease in all governorates; however, the decrease is to
be highest in Alexandria and Ismailia with about 13.2% and 12.2% respectively of
their production. The reduction in production leads to a reduction in the field crops’
net value. Thus, the field crops net value reduction is also to be highest in Alexandria
and Ismailia with about 14.5% and 13.4% of their respective field crops’ net value.
In contrast, the lowest percentage of field crops’ production reduction is to be in Kafr
El-Sheikh and Daqahlia with about 7% each, and 8% and 8.3% respective reductions
of their field crops’ net value.
Climate change is to affect all landowners in the Nile Delta governorates. However,
Kafr El-Sheikh and Damietta governorates are to experience the highest reduction
of working days by 0.34% and 0.19% respectively of their total working days.
For the determination of the vulnerability of the Nile Delta governorates and
their farmers, the climate change impacts are reviewed against the governorates’
and farmers’ adaptive capacities (see Table 9 in Annex for a summary of assets in
percent, and Table 17 in Annex for a summary of assests in numbers). The following
paragraphs review governorates and farmers’ assets:
• Rural Population: Beheira, Menufia and Kafr El-Sheikh have the highest percentage of the rural population of their total population with about 82%, 79% and
76% respectively, accounting for about 5 million, 3.4 million, and 2.6 million
people in 2017. In contrast, Alexandria and Ismailia have the smallest rural population accounting for 1.3 and 55.5% of their total population, of about 70 and 700
thousand people respectively in 2017.
• Engagement of Men and Women in Agriculture: A large percentage of the
employed population—over 15 years—in Beheira, Kafr El-Sheikh and Menufia governorates are dependent on agriculture as a main source of income. About
47%, 40% and 33% of the total employed in these governorates are engaged
in agricultural activities that make up about 960 thousand, 400 thousand and 400
thousand farmers respectively, versus about 4.5% and 6.7% engaged in agriculture
in Ismailia and Alexandria accounting for 106 thousand and 92 thousand farmers
of the total employed in the respective governorate in 2016. Furthermore, Menufia, Beheira and Qalyubia have the highest percentage of women’s employment in
agriculture of their total agricultural engagement with about 51%, 45% and 43%,
amounting 200 thousand, 430 thousand and 100 thousand women respectively.
The lowest percentage of women’s engagement is in Alexandria and Ismailia with
about 14.5% and 28% in 2016 that equal 13 thousand and 29 thousand women
respectively.
• Age of Rural Population: The percentage of those less than 45 years in the Nile
Delta governorates is almost the same in all governorates. However, it is highest
in Alexandria and Ismailia with about 90% and 88% respectively accounting for
about 60 thousand and 62 thousand people, while lowest in Qalyubia, Sharkia and
Beheira with about 87.5%, 87.4%, and 87%, nevertheless, accounting for about 3