317
among others. The problem with these indicators is their unavailability for the
whole coastal municipalities of the country.
On the other hand, predicting the future value of sensitivity indicators (as is done
for temperature and rainfall with global circulation models) is also complicated, but
consulting, for example, future regional projects and development plans can give us
a hint of the direction towards which development is heading, and help us predict
social and ecological implications.
This situation is alarming because it shows that, as a coastal country, much has
to be implemented in the near future to protect the coastal inhabitants and infrastructure in Mexico. Also, Mexico has to change its coastal policies to promote a
type of coastal development model that decreases the coastal vulnerability of the
municipalities and that takes into account the potential impacts of a shift towards
dryness of this complex coastal socio-ecological system.
Acknowledgments The present research is part of the characterization and regionalization of the
coastal zones of Mexico that includes methods of Geographic Information Systems and biophysical and socioeconomic statistics in current conditions and with climate change project of the 2013–
2016 Collaborative Platform on Climate Change and Green Growth between Canada and Mexico.
References
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2006) International assessments of the vulnerability of the coastal
zone to climate change, including an Australian perspective. Australian Greenhouse Office,
Department of the Environment and Heritage, Australia
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2010a) Vulnerability assessment. In: Green DR (ed) Coastal zone
management. Thomas Telford, London, pp 262–290
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2010b) Assessing vulnerability to sea-level rise using a coastal sensitivity index: a case study from Southeast Australia. J Coast Conserv 14:189–205
Adger WN (2006) Vulnerability. Glob Environ Chang 16:268–281
Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across
scales. Glob Environ Chang 12(2):77–86
Amador GA, López G, Mendoza ME (2011) Three approaches to the assessment of spatiotemporal distribution of the water balance: the case of the Cuitzeo basin, Michoacán, México.
Investigaciones Geográficas, Instituto de Geografía, UNAM, México 76:34–55
Asociación Mexicana de Institutos Municipales de Planeación (AMIMP) (2003) https://www.
amimp.org.mx/. Accessed 26 Apr 2019
Azuz-Adeath I, Arredondo-García MC, Espejel I, Rivera-Arriaga E, Seingier G, Fermán JL (2010a)
Referentes internacionales sobre indicadores e índices. Historia y estado del arte. In: RiveraArriaga E, Azuz-Adeath I, Alpuche GL, Villalobos-Zapata GJ (eds) Cambio climático en
México un enfoque costero-marino. Universidad Autónoma de Campeche, Cetys-Universidad,
Gobierno del Estado de Campeche, pp 845–858
Azuz-Adeath I, Arredondo-García MC, Espejel I, Rivera-Arriaga E, Seingier G, Fermán JL
(2010b) Propuesta de indicadores de la Red Mexicana de Manejo Integrado Costero-Marino.
In: Rivera-Arriaga E, Azuz-Adeath I, Alpuche GL, Villalobos-Zapata GJ (eds) Cambio
climático en México un enfoque costero-marino. Universidad Autónoma de Campeche, CetysUniversidad, Gobierno del Estado de Campeche, pp 901–940
17 Vulnerability to the Effects of Climate Change: Future Aridness and Present…
among others. The problem with these indicators is their unavailability for the
whole coastal municipalities of the country.
On the other hand, predicting the future value of sensitivity indicators (as is done
for temperature and rainfall with global circulation models) is also complicated, but
consulting, for example, future regional projects and development plans can give us
a hint of the direction towards which development is heading, and help us predict
social and ecological implications.
This situation is alarming because it shows that, as a coastal country, much has
to be implemented in the near future to protect the coastal inhabitants and infrastructure in Mexico. Also, Mexico has to change its coastal policies to promote a
type of coastal development model that decreases the coastal vulnerability of the
municipalities and that takes into account the potential impacts of a shift towards
dryness of this complex coastal socio-ecological system.
Acknowledgments The present research is part of the characterization and regionalization of the
coastal zones of Mexico that includes methods of Geographic Information Systems and biophysical and socioeconomic statistics in current conditions and with climate change project of the 2013–
2016 Collaborative Platform on Climate Change and Green Growth between Canada and Mexico.
References
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2006) International assessments of the vulnerability of the coastal
zone to climate change, including an Australian perspective. Australian Greenhouse Office,
Department of the Environment and Heritage, Australia
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2010a) Vulnerability assessment. In: Green DR (ed) Coastal zone
management. Thomas Telford, London, pp 262–290
Abuodha P, Woodroffe CD (2010b) Assessing vulnerability to sea-level rise using a coastal sensitivity index: a case study from Southeast Australia. J Coast Conserv 14:189–205
Adger WN (2006) Vulnerability. Glob Environ Chang 16:268–281
Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across
scales. Glob Environ Chang 12(2):77–86
Amador GA, López G, Mendoza ME (2011) Three approaches to the assessment of spatiotemporal distribution of the water balance: the case of the Cuitzeo basin, Michoacán, México.
Investigaciones Geográficas, Instituto de Geografía, UNAM, México 76:34–55
Asociación Mexicana de Institutos Municipales de Planeación (AMIMP) (2003) https://www.
amimp.org.mx/. Accessed 26 Apr 2019
Azuz-Adeath I, Arredondo-García MC, Espejel I, Rivera-Arriaga E, Seingier G, Fermán JL (2010a)
Referentes internacionales sobre indicadores e índices. Historia y estado del arte. In: RiveraArriaga E, Azuz-Adeath I, Alpuche GL, Villalobos-Zapata GJ (eds) Cambio climático en
México un enfoque costero-marino. Universidad Autónoma de Campeche, Cetys-Universidad,
Gobierno del Estado de Campeche, pp 845–858
Azuz-Adeath I, Arredondo-García MC, Espejel I, Rivera-Arriaga E, Seingier G, Fermán JL
(2010b) Propuesta de indicadores de la Red Mexicana de Manejo Integrado Costero-Marino.
In: Rivera-Arriaga E, Azuz-Adeath I, Alpuche GL, Villalobos-Zapata GJ (eds) Cambio
climático en México un enfoque costero-marino. Universidad Autónoma de Campeche, CetysUniversidad, Gobierno del Estado de Campeche, pp 901–940
17 Vulnerability to the Effects of Climate Change: Future Aridness and Present…