58
Table 18 : 2 CAA, and 2DAA calculating, and interpretation details.
Calculating elements
Elements of interpretation
2CAA
The valued convergence matrix is calculated in the
following way:
If
( (2MAO) ik x (2MAO) jk ) > 0,
Then (2CAA) ij + ½ x ( |(2MAO) ik | + |(2MAO) jk | )
Otherwise
(2CAA) ij = 0
The values represent the degree of
convergence: the higher the intensity, the
more actors have common interests.
2DAA
The valued divergence matrix is calculated in the
following way:
If
( (2MAO) ik x (2MAO) jk ) < 0,
Then (2DAA) ij + ½ x ( |(2MAO) ik | + |(2MAO) jk | )
Otherwise
(2DAA) ij = 0
The values represent the degree of
divergence: the higher the intensity, the
more actors have diverging interests.
2.3.4. Degree of convergence & divergence (2CAA & 2DAA):
Also calculated in the order 02 analysis are the degree of convergence, and divergence associated
to the valued positions (2C, and 2D respectively) which are global indicators of the convergence,
and divergence percentages of the set of actors with the set of objectives.
Table 19 : 2C, 2D, and calculating elements.
Calculating elements
In theory
Real
2C The degree of convergence is related to the valued positions:
2C = ( Σ ij (2CAA) ij ) / ( Σ ij (2CAA) ij + Σ ij (2DAA) ij ) ) x 100
94.8% 74.9%
2D The degree of divergence is related to the valued positions:
2D = ( Σ ij (2DAA) ij ) / ( Σ ij (2CAA) ij + Σ ij (2DAA) ij ) ) x 100
5.2%
25.1%
Order 02 analysis is done taking into consideration only the objective hierarchy, and the degree
of opinion.
In theory MSP, the overall intensity of convergences is high while divergences are less intense
with the strongest divergence between industry operators (IO), and environment protection
associations (EPA). In real MSP, a significant number of weak convergences appears and the
number of strong ones decreases. However, we also notice a lot of strong divergences in
actor‟s interests.
Some actors can have very weak convergences, and divergences at the same time, which
implies that they often have neutral or indifferent positions such as recreational fishermen (RF)
in real MSP. Medias do not appear on the divergence graphs (figure 21), probably because of
their weak interactions with the other actors, and particularly with keys actors. The
convergence of this actor is not necessarily regular, and may appear only during certain
situations.
The degree of convergence and divergence percentages of the set of actors with the set of
objectives (table 19) show a difference of about 20% between real, and theoretical MSP. The
fact that there are 20% more convergences and 20% less divergences in theory than in in real
MSP sheds light on the gaps of potential alliances when considering the real aspects of the
game of actors.
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