23
1 Study Summary
Three Scenarios and Challenges for France
Collective appraisal of these variables resulted in the establishment of three contrasting scenarios, giving rise to three different types of challenges for France.
Crises and Barriers, Political Tensions
Context
Multiple geopolitical tensions in a world that has become multipolar diminish the
role and influence of international organisations in general, and the ISA in particular. With a lack of consensus on international regulations on the ocean, conflicts are
on the rise. They affect issues of access to knowledge and resources just as much as
impact assessment or compliance with international agreements.
In this climate of growing tension, we observe reduced market fluidity, leading
to the introduction of autonomous supply strategies in most major countries. States
with an EEZ increase their control of potential deposits in these zones and restrict
the choice of partners to the circle of their close allies. Economic importance and
supply shortage risks are high, whether from a European (Fig. 1.8) or American
(Fig. 1.9) perspective.
Consequently, the situation of marine mineral resources vacillates between “setaside and harnessing”.
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Fig. 1.8 European vision of the position of metals according to their economic importance and
supply risks. (Source: European Union 2010)
1 Study Summary
Three Scenarios and Challenges for France
Collective appraisal of these variables resulted in the establishment of three contrasting scenarios, giving rise to three different types of challenges for France.
Crises and Barriers, Political Tensions
Context
Multiple geopolitical tensions in a world that has become multipolar diminish the
role and influence of international organisations in general, and the ISA in particular. With a lack of consensus on international regulations on the ocean, conflicts are
on the rise. They affect issues of access to knowledge and resources just as much as
impact assessment or compliance with international agreements.
In this climate of growing tension, we observe reduced market fluidity, leading
to the introduction of autonomous supply strategies in most major countries. States
with an EEZ increase their control of potential deposits in these zones and restrict
the choice of partners to the circle of their close allies. Economic importance and
supply shortage risks are high, whether from a European (Fig. 1.8) or American
(Fig. 1.9) perspective.
Consequently, the situation of marine mineral resources vacillates between “setaside and harnessing”.
ϱ
ϰ
ϯ
ĂƌLJƚĞ
dĂůĐ
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Fig. 1.8 European vision of the position of metals according to their economic importance and
supply risks. (Source: European Union 2010)