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ANDREAS SCHILLER AND NEVILLE SMITH
weak restoring towards observation-based estimates of sea-surface
temperature and sea-surface salinity), whereas in forecast mode atmospheric
forecasts from the Bureau of Meteorology’s NWP system will be used as
surface forcing for OFAM. This first experiment will also provide
preliminary but important information about the statistical behaviour of the
system (the box labelled “Diagnostics of Assimilation” in Fig. 5).
The next step will be the operational implementation of the forecasting
system at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Observations received in
near-real time from satellites (altimetry and SST) and in situ platforms such
as Argo floats will be analysed and ingested daily and into the forecasting
system. Short-range forecasts will be issued twice a week.
Future developments beyond the timescale of the current project will
focus on an improved data assimilation system (e.g. Ensemble Kalman
Filter) and on the implementation of a sea-ice model.
Acknowledgements
Parts of this paper are based on a brochure developed by the BLUElink
team and the CSIRO Marine Research Communications Group. Among
others, the contributions by Rick Bailey, John Parslow, Craig Macaulay, Lea
Crosswell, Peter Craig, David Griffin, Peter Oke, Ken Ridgway and Scott
Condie are particularly appreciated. This work was partly funded by the
Bureau of Meteorology, the CSIRO and a grant from the Royal Australian
Navy in support of the BLUElink ocean forecasting partnership project.
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