6
NEVILLE SMITH
also being extended, for example to consider ozone, air quality and carbon
dioxide. Finally, these same systems are being used to produce consistent
(re-)analyses of the atmospheric state.
While there are significant differences between the goals of numerical
ocean prediction (the GODAE focus) and numerical weather prediction, it is
also clear that our community can benefit from the experiences of that
community, including their failures. We will discuss objectives and products
that closely parallel those discussed here. It is also likely GODAE systems
will utilize and/or share a great deal of the infrastructure developed for
weather prediction, including observational networks, data and product
communication networks, computers and organizational infrastructure.
One difference that is worth considering is that at this time the numerical
ocean prediction community does not have the benefit of a dedicated ocean
research program. GARP has morphed into the World Climate Research
Program, which does consider climate aspects, but its Programmes do not
provide the focus that we need now and in the future.
Perspective #2:
We have a good model to follow in
the development of numerical weather prediction and we
can deliver efficiency and effectiveness by partnering and
sharing with this community.
4.
The concept of and rationale for GODAE
4.1
The vision
The key to harnessing the powerful resources of the ocean and mitigating
and/or exploiting its impact on our environment is knowledge - knowledge
of the way the ocean has behaved in the past and of how it is likely to
behave in the future. Monitoring and forecasting the behavior of the ocean is
one of the major challenges for this century, as a prerequisite to sustained
development of the marine environment and the implementation of seasonal
prediction and climate forecasting systems.
The vision of GODAE is (IGST, 2000):
A global system of observations, communications, modeling
and assimilation, that will deliver regular, comprehensive
information on the state of the oceans in a way that will promote
and engender wide utility and availability of this resource for
maximum benefit to society.
“
”
NEVILLE SMITH
also being extended, for example to consider ozone, air quality and carbon
dioxide. Finally, these same systems are being used to produce consistent
(re-)analyses of the atmospheric state.
While there are significant differences between the goals of numerical
ocean prediction (the GODAE focus) and numerical weather prediction, it is
also clear that our community can benefit from the experiences of that
community, including their failures. We will discuss objectives and products
that closely parallel those discussed here. It is also likely GODAE systems
will utilize and/or share a great deal of the infrastructure developed for
weather prediction, including observational networks, data and product
communication networks, computers and organizational infrastructure.
One difference that is worth considering is that at this time the numerical
ocean prediction community does not have the benefit of a dedicated ocean
research program. GARP has morphed into the World Climate Research
Program, which does consider climate aspects, but its Programmes do not
provide the focus that we need now and in the future.
Perspective #2:
We have a good model to follow in
the development of numerical weather prediction and we
can deliver efficiency and effectiveness by partnering and
sharing with this community.
4.
The concept of and rationale for GODAE
4.1
The vision
The key to harnessing the powerful resources of the ocean and mitigating
and/or exploiting its impact on our environment is knowledge - knowledge
of the way the ocean has behaved in the past and of how it is likely to
behave in the future. Monitoring and forecasting the behavior of the ocean is
one of the major challenges for this century, as a prerequisite to sustained
development of the marine environment and the implementation of seasonal
prediction and climate forecasting systems.
The vision of GODAE is (IGST, 2000):
A global system of observations, communications, modeling
and assimilation, that will deliver regular, comprehensive
information on the state of the oceans in a way that will promote
and engender wide utility and availability of this resource for
maximum benefit to society.
“
”