Autonomy: Risk Assessment References 543
Part B | 24
aging autonomous underwater vehicle deployments, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech. 29(11), 1689–1703
(2012)
24.15 P.D.T. O’Connor: Practical Reliability Engineering
(Wiley, Chichester 1995)
24.16 G. Griffiths, N. Millard, S.D. McPhail, P. Stevenson, P. Challenor: On the Reliability of the Autosub Autonomous Underwater Vehicle, Southampton Oceanography Centre Research and Consultion
by Report 48 (SOC, Southampton 2000)
24.17 G. Griffiths, N.W. Millard, S.D. McPhail, J. Riggs: Effect of upgrades on the reliability of the autosub
AUV, Proc. 13th UUST (2003)
24.18 J.D. Andrews, T.R. Moss: Reliability and Risk Assessment (Longman, Harlow 1993)
24.19 G. Griffiths, M.P. Brito: Risk management for autonomous underwater vehicles operating under
ice, Proc. OTC Arct. Technol. Conf., Houston, Texas
(2011), OTC-22162-MS
24.20 M.V. Frank: Reentry safety: Probability of fuel release, Proc. Eur. Saf. Reliab. Conf., Rotterdam, 1999
(Taylor Francis, Rotterdam 1999)
24.21 L. Merckelbach: On the probability of underwater
glider loss due to collision with a ship, J. Mar. Sci.
Technol. 18(1), 75–86 (2013)
24.22 D.P. Horner, A.J. Healey, S.P. Kragelund: AUV experiments in obstacle avoidance, Proc. MTS/IEEE
OCEANS’05 (2005) pp. 1464–1470
24.23 S.D. McPhail, M. Furlong, M. Pebody: Lowaltitude terrain following and collision avoidance
in a flight-class autonomous underwater vehicle,
Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. M J. Eng. Marit, Environ.
224(4), 279–292 (2010)
24.24 W. Stone, N. Fairfield, G.A. Kantor: Autonomous
underwater vehicle navigation and proximity
operations for deep phreatic thermal explorer
(DEPTHX), Proc. Int. Mastercl. AUV Technol. Polar
Sci., National Ocean. Cent., Southampton, ed. by
G. Griffiths, K. Collins (Society for Underwater Technology, London 2007) pp. 127–142
24.25 M. Pebody: Autonomous underwater vehicle collision avoidance for under-ice exploration, Proc.
Inst. Mech. Eng. M J. Eng. Marit, Environ. 222(2),
53–66 (2008)
24.26 W. Feller: An Introduction to Probability Theory and
Its Applications, Vol. 1 (Wiley, New York 1950)
24.27 M. Brito, G. Griffiths: A Markov chain state transition approach to establishing critical phases for
AUV reliability, IEEE-JOE 36(1), 139–149 (2011)
24.28 R.L. Keeney, D. Winterfeldt: Eliciting probabilities
from experts in complex technical problems, IEEE
Trans. Eng. Manag. 38(3), 191–201 (1991)
24.29 A. Tversky, D. Kahnemann: Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases, Science 185(4157),
1124–1131 (1974)
24.30 D. Kahnemann, A. Tversky: Subjective probability:
A judgment of representativeness, Cogn. Psychol.
3(3), 430–454 (1972)
24.31 M.L. Finucane, A. Alhakami, P. Slovic, S.M. Johnson: The effect of heuristic in judgments of risk
and benefits, J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 13(1), 1–17
(2000)
24.32 M. Kynn: The ‘heuristics and biases’ bias in expert elicitation, J. Royal Stat. Soc. A 171(1), 239–264
(2008)
24.33 R.M. Cooke, L.H.J. Goossens: Expert judgement
elicitation for risk assessments on critical infrastructures, J. Risk Res. 7(6), 643–656 (2004)
24.34 D.J. Isenberg: Group polarization: A critical review
and meta-analysis, J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 50(6),
1141–1151 (1986)
24.35 P.A. Morris: An axiomatic approach to expert resolution, Manag. Sci. 29(1), 24–32 (1983)
24.36 R.T. Clemen, R.L. Winkler: Combining probability
distributions from experts in risk analysis, Risk
Anal. 19(2), 187–203 (1999)
24.37 K.J. McConway: Marginalisation and linear opinion
pools, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 76, 410–414 (1981)
24.38 M.A. Moline, S.M. Blackwell, C. Von Alt, B. Allen,
T. Austin, J.F. Case, N. Forrester, R. Goldsborough,
M. Purcell, R. Stokey: Remote environmental monitoring units: An autonomous vehicle for characterizing coastal environments, J. Atmos. Ocean Tech.
22, 1797–1808 (2005)
24.39 G. Griffiths, M. Brito, I. Robbins, M. Moline: Reliability of two REMUS-100 AUVs based on fault log
analysis and elicited expert judgment, Proc. Int.
Symp. Unmanned Untethered Submers. Technol.,
Durham, New Hampshire (2008)
24.40 A. O’Hagan, C.E. Buck, A. Daneshkhah, J.R. Eiser,
P.H. Garthwaite, D.J. Jenkinson, J.E. Oakley,
T. Rakow: Uncertain Judgments: Eliciting Experts’
Probabilities (Wiley, Chichester 2003)
24.41 L.D. Phillips, M.C. Phillips: Facilitated work groups:
Theory and practice, J. Oper. Res. Soc. 44, 533–549
(1993)
24.42 T. Crees, C. Kaminski, J. Ferguson, J.M. Laframboise, A. Forrest, J. Williams, E. MacNeil, D. Hopkin,
R. Pederson: UNCLOS under ice survey – An historic
AUV deployment in the Canadian high arctic, Proc.
IEEE OCEANS’10 (2010) pp. 1–8
24.43 R.L. Prentice, J.D. Kalbfleisch: The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (Wiley, New York 2002)
24.44 E.L. Kaplan, P. Meier: Nonparametric estimation
from incomplete observations, J. Am. Stat. Assoc.
53(282), 457–481 (1958)
24.45 E.D. Brown, N.J.J. Gaskell: Questions and Answers
on the Law, State Practice and Procedure Relating to Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (Society for
Underwater Technology, London 2001)
24.46 J. Kraska: The law of unmanned naval systems in
war and peace, J. Ocean Tech. 5, 43–68 (2010)
24.47 A.H. Henderson: Murky waters: The legal status of
unmanned undersea vehicles, Naval L. Rev. 55, 1–17
(2006)
24.48 K. Bork, J. Karstensen, M. Visbeck, A. Zimmermann:
The legal regulation of floats and gliders: In quest
of a new regime?, Ocean Dev. Int. Law 39, 298–328
(2003)
24.49 S. Showalter: The legal status of autonomous underwater vehicles, Mar. Technol. Soc. J. 38, 80–83
(2004)
24.50 SUT: The Operation of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles – Recommended Code of Practice, Vol. 1
Part B | 24
aging autonomous underwater vehicle deployments, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech. 29(11), 1689–1703
(2012)
24.15 P.D.T. O’Connor: Practical Reliability Engineering
(Wiley, Chichester 1995)
24.16 G. Griffiths, N. Millard, S.D. McPhail, P. Stevenson, P. Challenor: On the Reliability of the Autosub Autonomous Underwater Vehicle, Southampton Oceanography Centre Research and Consultion
by Report 48 (SOC, Southampton 2000)
24.17 G. Griffiths, N.W. Millard, S.D. McPhail, J. Riggs: Effect of upgrades on the reliability of the autosub
AUV, Proc. 13th UUST (2003)
24.18 J.D. Andrews, T.R. Moss: Reliability and Risk Assessment (Longman, Harlow 1993)
24.19 G. Griffiths, M.P. Brito: Risk management for autonomous underwater vehicles operating under
ice, Proc. OTC Arct. Technol. Conf., Houston, Texas
(2011), OTC-22162-MS
24.20 M.V. Frank: Reentry safety: Probability of fuel release, Proc. Eur. Saf. Reliab. Conf., Rotterdam, 1999
(Taylor Francis, Rotterdam 1999)
24.21 L. Merckelbach: On the probability of underwater
glider loss due to collision with a ship, J. Mar. Sci.
Technol. 18(1), 75–86 (2013)
24.22 D.P. Horner, A.J. Healey, S.P. Kragelund: AUV experiments in obstacle avoidance, Proc. MTS/IEEE
OCEANS’05 (2005) pp. 1464–1470
24.23 S.D. McPhail, M. Furlong, M. Pebody: Lowaltitude terrain following and collision avoidance
in a flight-class autonomous underwater vehicle,
Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. M J. Eng. Marit, Environ.
224(4), 279–292 (2010)
24.24 W. Stone, N. Fairfield, G.A. Kantor: Autonomous
underwater vehicle navigation and proximity
operations for deep phreatic thermal explorer
(DEPTHX), Proc. Int. Mastercl. AUV Technol. Polar
Sci., National Ocean. Cent., Southampton, ed. by
G. Griffiths, K. Collins (Society for Underwater Technology, London 2007) pp. 127–142
24.25 M. Pebody: Autonomous underwater vehicle collision avoidance for under-ice exploration, Proc.
Inst. Mech. Eng. M J. Eng. Marit, Environ. 222(2),
53–66 (2008)
24.26 W. Feller: An Introduction to Probability Theory and
Its Applications, Vol. 1 (Wiley, New York 1950)
24.27 M. Brito, G. Griffiths: A Markov chain state transition approach to establishing critical phases for
AUV reliability, IEEE-JOE 36(1), 139–149 (2011)
24.28 R.L. Keeney, D. Winterfeldt: Eliciting probabilities
from experts in complex technical problems, IEEE
Trans. Eng. Manag. 38(3), 191–201 (1991)
24.29 A. Tversky, D. Kahnemann: Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases, Science 185(4157),
1124–1131 (1974)
24.30 D. Kahnemann, A. Tversky: Subjective probability:
A judgment of representativeness, Cogn. Psychol.
3(3), 430–454 (1972)
24.31 M.L. Finucane, A. Alhakami, P. Slovic, S.M. Johnson: The effect of heuristic in judgments of risk
and benefits, J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 13(1), 1–17
(2000)
24.32 M. Kynn: The ‘heuristics and biases’ bias in expert elicitation, J. Royal Stat. Soc. A 171(1), 239–264
(2008)
24.33 R.M. Cooke, L.H.J. Goossens: Expert judgement
elicitation for risk assessments on critical infrastructures, J. Risk Res. 7(6), 643–656 (2004)
24.34 D.J. Isenberg: Group polarization: A critical review
and meta-analysis, J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 50(6),
1141–1151 (1986)
24.35 P.A. Morris: An axiomatic approach to expert resolution, Manag. Sci. 29(1), 24–32 (1983)
24.36 R.T. Clemen, R.L. Winkler: Combining probability
distributions from experts in risk analysis, Risk
Anal. 19(2), 187–203 (1999)
24.37 K.J. McConway: Marginalisation and linear opinion
pools, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 76, 410–414 (1981)
24.38 M.A. Moline, S.M. Blackwell, C. Von Alt, B. Allen,
T. Austin, J.F. Case, N. Forrester, R. Goldsborough,
M. Purcell, R. Stokey: Remote environmental monitoring units: An autonomous vehicle for characterizing coastal environments, J. Atmos. Ocean Tech.
22, 1797–1808 (2005)
24.39 G. Griffiths, M. Brito, I. Robbins, M. Moline: Reliability of two REMUS-100 AUVs based on fault log
analysis and elicited expert judgment, Proc. Int.
Symp. Unmanned Untethered Submers. Technol.,
Durham, New Hampshire (2008)
24.40 A. O’Hagan, C.E. Buck, A. Daneshkhah, J.R. Eiser,
P.H. Garthwaite, D.J. Jenkinson, J.E. Oakley,
T. Rakow: Uncertain Judgments: Eliciting Experts’
Probabilities (Wiley, Chichester 2003)
24.41 L.D. Phillips, M.C. Phillips: Facilitated work groups:
Theory and practice, J. Oper. Res. Soc. 44, 533–549
(1993)
24.42 T. Crees, C. Kaminski, J. Ferguson, J.M. Laframboise, A. Forrest, J. Williams, E. MacNeil, D. Hopkin,
R. Pederson: UNCLOS under ice survey – An historic
AUV deployment in the Canadian high arctic, Proc.
IEEE OCEANS’10 (2010) pp. 1–8
24.43 R.L. Prentice, J.D. Kalbfleisch: The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (Wiley, New York 2002)
24.44 E.L. Kaplan, P. Meier: Nonparametric estimation
from incomplete observations, J. Am. Stat. Assoc.
53(282), 457–481 (1958)
24.45 E.D. Brown, N.J.J. Gaskell: Questions and Answers
on the Law, State Practice and Procedure Relating to Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (Society for
Underwater Technology, London 2001)
24.46 J. Kraska: The law of unmanned naval systems in
war and peace, J. Ocean Tech. 5, 43–68 (2010)
24.47 A.H. Henderson: Murky waters: The legal status of
unmanned undersea vehicles, Naval L. Rev. 55, 1–17
(2006)
24.48 K. Bork, J. Karstensen, M. Visbeck, A. Zimmermann:
The legal regulation of floats and gliders: In quest
of a new regime?, Ocean Dev. Int. Law 39, 298–328
(2003)
24.49 S. Showalter: The legal status of autonomous underwater vehicles, Mar. Technol. Soc. J. 38, 80–83
(2004)
24.50 SUT: The Operation of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles – Recommended Code of Practice, Vol. 1