Contents
Foreword
. 1
Preface
... III
Contributors
...
Xlll
I Introduction
1
1 The Development of Climate Research
3
by ANTONIO NAVARRA
1.1 The Nature of Climate Studies . . . . .
3
1.1.1 The Big Storm Controversy . . .
4
1.1.2 The Great Planetary Oscillations
6
1.2 The Components of Climate Research
7
1.2.1 Dynamical Theory . . . . .
8
1.2.2 Numerical Experimentation
9
1.2.3 Statistical Analysis. . . . .
9
2 Misuses of Statistical Analysis in Climate Research
11
by HANS VON STORCH
2.1 Prologue....................
11
2.2 Mandatory Testing and the Mexican Hat
13
2.3 Neglecting Serial Correlation . . . . . . .
15
2.4 Misleading Names: The Case of the Decorrelation Time
18
2.5 Use of Advanced Techniques .
24
2.6 Epilogue...........................
26