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14.2 Global Feedstock Requirements for Biofuel Production
This section discusses the global feedstock requirements for current biofuel production and uses them to estimate the potential for significantly expanded production.
Already, globally, a significant share of the world’s grain and vegetable oil production is being used to produce biofuel. However, this has only succeeded in replacing
a small amount of liquid transport fuel.
Table 14.1 shows that overall, 11% of coarse grains and vegetable oils and 21%
of sugarcane were used to produce bioethanol and biodiesel on average in 2008–
2010. In 2020, this is expected to increase to 12–16% for grains and oils and 33%
for sugarcane. Biofuels produced by these feedstocks accounted for 2.0% and 5.3%
of diesel and gasoline use, respectively, on average in 2008–2010, and this amount
is expected to increase to 3.8% and 8.8%, respectively, by 2020 according to
Table 14.2.
Table 14.1 Present and future share of global coarse grains, vegetable oil, and sugarcane
production used to produce biofuel
2008–2010 average
2020 projection
Share of global production of coarse grains used
to produce ethanol
11.0%
12.0%
Share of global production of vegetable oils used
to produce biodiesel
11.0%
16.0%
Share of global production of sugarcane used to
produce ethanol
21%
33%
Source: Calculated based on OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2011–2020 (2011)
Table 14.2 Estimated share of global coarse grains, vegetable oil, and sugarcane production
needed to significantly expand biofuel production
2008–2010
average
2020
projection
Share of ethanol in global gasoline use (%) (energy shares)
5.3%
8.8%
Share of biodiesel in global diesel use (%) (energy shares)
2.0%
3.8%
Estimated share of global production of coarse grains needed
for ethanol to replace 20% of global gasoline use
41.5%
27.3%
Estimated share of global production of vegetable oils needed
for biodiesel to replace 20% of global diesel use
110.0%
84.2%
Estimated share of global production of coarse grains needed
for ethanol to replace 50% of global gasoline use
103.8%
68.2%
Estimated share of global production of vegetable oils needed
for biodiesel to replace 50% of global diesel use
275.0%
210.5%
Share of sugarcane in gasoline use
21%
33%
Estimated share of global production of sugar cane needed
for ethanol to replace 20% of gasoline use
79%
75%
Estimated share of global production of sugarcane needed
for ethanol to replace 50% of gasoline use
525%
434%
Source: Calculated based on OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2011–2020 (2011)
14 A Regional Perspective on Biofuels in Asia
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