506
S. Zenchanka et al.
In 2012, Randers J., one of the co-authors of “The Limit to Growth” and “Limit to
Growth: the 30-years update”, published the results of his research with forecasts of
humanity development for the following 40 years (Randers 2012). This report differs
from the previous ones for having considered five regions of the world with different
levels of economic development: (1) USA, (2) EU, Japan, Canada and the rest of the
industrialized world; (3) China; (4) Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, and 10 other
big emerging economies; (5) and finally those at the bottom of the income ladder.
The main findings of this study are:
• The impact will differ among the five regions analysed in the book. The world
in 2052 will certainly not be uniform or flat—conditions in the five regions will
differ dramatically;
• The increase in global population and economy (GDP) will not be as fast as many
expect;
• Growth will be slow in OECD countries and also in the poorest parts of the world.
As a consequence, the global demand for resources will remain lower than it
would have been if the population and the economy were bigger.
The report “A finer future is possible. How humanity can avoid system collapse
and craft a better economic system” from Lovins et al. (2016) presents ways to
overcome collapse:
• The challenge facing humanity today is to create a convincing new story and a
powerful movement for a new economic system based on different values, such
as strengthening human dignity, the common good and proper management of
nature.
• Humanity must work within the planetary boundaries and ensure human wellbeing and dignity. We need a “safe and working space for humanity” (Lovins
et al. 2016). The growing population—combined with the extravagant way of life
among the rich—will lead to difficulties in relation to planetary boundaries. It is
necessary to limit the wealthy way of life and make efforts to limit population
growth.
• In a circular economy, products are designed to facilitate processing, reuse, disassembly and rework. It replaces the traditional linear model “Take, Make and
Dispose”, which have dominated the economy so far and will promote more
efficient use of energy and resources.
Environmental management systems are components of the sustainable development of any state and its national security. These systems are developed at the
state and local levels. At the state level, sustainable development and environmental
management are considered in sustainable development strategies and regulations.
At the local level, in documents of environmental management systems, such as
policies, guidelines, standards of enterprises and organisations. A circular model of
environmental management is considered, which includes the following steps: environmental monitoring, environmental modelling, decision making and environmental
impact.
S. Zenchanka et al.
In 2012, Randers J., one of the co-authors of “The Limit to Growth” and “Limit to
Growth: the 30-years update”, published the results of his research with forecasts of
humanity development for the following 40 years (Randers 2012). This report differs
from the previous ones for having considered five regions of the world with different
levels of economic development: (1) USA, (2) EU, Japan, Canada and the rest of the
industrialized world; (3) China; (4) Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, and 10 other
big emerging economies; (5) and finally those at the bottom of the income ladder.
The main findings of this study are:
• The impact will differ among the five regions analysed in the book. The world
in 2052 will certainly not be uniform or flat—conditions in the five regions will
differ dramatically;
• The increase in global population and economy (GDP) will not be as fast as many
expect;
• Growth will be slow in OECD countries and also in the poorest parts of the world.
As a consequence, the global demand for resources will remain lower than it
would have been if the population and the economy were bigger.
The report “A finer future is possible. How humanity can avoid system collapse
and craft a better economic system” from Lovins et al. (2016) presents ways to
overcome collapse:
• The challenge facing humanity today is to create a convincing new story and a
powerful movement for a new economic system based on different values, such
as strengthening human dignity, the common good and proper management of
nature.
• Humanity must work within the planetary boundaries and ensure human wellbeing and dignity. We need a “safe and working space for humanity” (Lovins
et al. 2016). The growing population—combined with the extravagant way of life
among the rich—will lead to difficulties in relation to planetary boundaries. It is
necessary to limit the wealthy way of life and make efforts to limit population
growth.
• In a circular economy, products are designed to facilitate processing, reuse, disassembly and rework. It replaces the traditional linear model “Take, Make and
Dispose”, which have dominated the economy so far and will promote more
efficient use of energy and resources.
Environmental management systems are components of the sustainable development of any state and its national security. These systems are developed at the
state and local levels. At the state level, sustainable development and environmental
management are considered in sustainable development strategies and regulations.
At the local level, in documents of environmental management systems, such as
policies, guidelines, standards of enterprises and organisations. A circular model of
environmental management is considered, which includes the following steps: environmental monitoring, environmental modelling, decision making and environmental
impact.