7 Development of Low Carbon Technology in China’s Iron …
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7.6 Conclusions and Recommendations
7.6.1 Key Conclusions
(1) Pressure exists in low carbon development of China’s iron and steel
industry.
• Massive production and emissions: China, as “world factory”, contributes
to over 50% of the world’s total iron and steel output. The progress in
industrialization and urbanization are boosting domestic demand for iron
and steel;
• Small proportion of short process steel: constrained by the reality, only a
small portion of iron and steel output in China is attributable to short process
ironmaking technique, which is difficult to reverse within a short time;
• Low concentration: approximately 20% of the production capacity is
contributed by small- and medium-sized iron and steel plants, prompting
a rise in average energy consumption/emissions;
• Risk of surplus capacity and excessive inventory: considerable surplus in
production capacity and inventory is produced by incentives aiming at
tackling economic crisis;
• Risk of industrial transfer and shrinking international trade: conservatism is
rife in countries like US, attempting to lure back their overseas industrial
establishments; while underdeveloped regions are gradually joining market
competition as their economic growth picks up.
(2) Multiple options and vast potentials are available for technical renovation.
• Multiple options for technical renovation and vast potentials for comprehensive abatement: from both consumption and production side, multiple
energy-saving and abatement technological options exist in every phase
of iron and steel production, with total theoretical abatement of 43% by
mainstream technology upgrade;
• Excellent cost effectiveness of some renovative techniques: recovery
and reuse of waste heat and waste gas from ironmaking and technology
upgrades in rolling/casting can reduce emissions while improving production
efficiency, demonstrating desirable cost effectiveness.
(3) Zero carbon technologies, with their respective competitiveness, have
captured wide attention.
• Universality of CCUS: be it traditional BF/BOF ironmaking or COG/syngas
DRI, CCUS technology can slash carbon emissions;
• Less material consumption by hydrogen steelmaking: compared to material consumption from CCS process as well as material consumption and
land occupation from CCS facility construction, material consumption from
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