By this Contrivance, the most ignorant Person at a reasonable Charge, and with a little body
Labor, may write Books in Philosophy, Poetry, Politics, Law, Mathematics and Theology,
without the least Assistance from Genius or Study.
—Jonathan Swift, 1724
41
There is no security […] against the ultimate development of mechanical consciousness.
—Samuel Butler, 1872
I propose to consider the question, ‘Can machines think?’.
—Alan Turing, 1950
The real problem is not whether machines think but whether men do.
—B. F. Skinner, 1969
A computer would deserve to be called intelligent if it could deceive a human into believing
that it was human.
42
—Alan Turing, 1950
Any artificial intelligence smart enough to pass a Turing test is smart enough to know to fail
it.
—Ian McDonald, 2006
We’re rapidly creating an extraordinary silicon-based Petri dish for evolution of intelligence. By the year 2025 […] we’re likely to have computers whose raw processing power
exceeds that of the human brain. Also, we’re likely to have more computers than people.
—J. Doyne Farmer, 1995
43
We cannot prevent the Singularity,
44 that is coming as an inevitable consequence of the
humans’ natural competitiveness and the possibilities inherent to technology.
—Vernor Vinge, 1993
The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race. We
cannot quite know what will happen if a machine exceeds our own intelligence, so we can’t
know if we’ll be infinitely helped by it, or ignored by it and sidelined, or conceivably
destroyed by it.
—Stephen Hawking, 2014
41
Ridiculing the artificial intelligence hopes of his time.
42
The original suggestion of what is now called the Turing Test.
43
Note that both these thresholds were reached at least 5 years before the supposed date.
44
In his earlier (1987) book, Vinge defined the Singularity as the hypothetical point of “creation of
intelligences greater than our own”. (Several earlier authors, starting at least from John von
Neumann, are credited for similar notions, under different names. The Singularity term has
received an additional strong promotion from a 2005 book by Ray Kurzweil.).
54
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