Table 13.3
Predictions for the COVID-19 pandemic waves in different countries and regions
Country or
region
Period used for
calculations
V
s , Eq. (13.7)
or (13.1)
d
s , Eq. (13.8)
or (13.2)
V
i1 lower limit,
Eq. (13.5)
V
j as of
October 31,
2020
(November 9
for Kyiv)
V
i1 upper limit,
Eq. (13.5)
T
s (days)
lower
limit,
Eq. (13.6)
T
s (days)
upper
limit,
Eq. (13.6)
World
October 4–11
35,957,100
329,360
60,767,499
45,968,799
100,320,309
310
479
South
Korea
August 15–23
16,358.5
297.3
27,646
26,635
45,640
156
241
Ukraine
September 20–27
187,156
3,279.4
316,294
395,440
522,165
162
250
Sweden
September 13–20
87,371
247.4
147,657
124,355
243,765
1,003
1,550
USA
October 4–11
7,419,991
46,788
12,539,785
8,952,086
20,701,774
450
696
Germany
October 4–11
311,050.5
3,375.3
525,675
532,930
867,831
261
405
UK
October 4–11
535,434.5
15,832
904,884
1,011,664
1,493,862
96
148
Italy
October 4–11
336,122.5
3,820.4
568,047
679,430
937,782
249
386
Spain
August 23–30
412,670
7,604.6
697,412
1,185,678
1,151,349
154
238
France
October 4–11
636,035.5
15,809
1,074,900
1,331,808
1,774,539
114
177
Austria
October 4–11
51,352
952.3
86,785
106,584
143,272
153
237
Moldova
September 20–27
48,435
599.7
81,855
76,040
135,134
229
355
Kyiv
October 11–17
29,078
395.7
49,142
45,667
81,128
209
323
13 Long-Time Predictions for the Pandemic Dynamics
159