14 Forecast of Future Impacts of Using ICT …
215
Table 14.2
(continued)
Industry category ICT services
Effect expected by ICT use
2030 scenarios
Index of penetration
Baseline (keep in
2015 level)
ICT accelerated
(D)
Distribution and
services
D1 B to C e-commerce (EC) Optimization of intermediate
distribution and retail sales;
unnecessity of storage space and retail
shops; reduction in producing
CDs/DVDs/newspapers and books;
reduction in sales distribution and
returned goods delivery
EC rate
5.79%
12.20%
D2 Online issuing of air
tickets
Reduction of transportation use
Rate of online
reservation
52.00%
72.00%
D3 Purchase of tickets at
convenience stores
Utilization rate
18.40%
25.40%
D4 B to B e-commerce (EC) Reduction of transportation use;
optimization of accounting works,
intermediate distribution, wholesale,
and retail sales
EC rate
29.60%
41.30%
D5 Online music service
Optimization of intermediate
distribution and retail sales;
unnecessity of storage space and retail
shops; reduction in producing
CDs/DVDs/newspapers and books;
reduction in sales distribution and
returned goods delivery
Online utilization rate 53.60%
53.60%
D6 Online video service
48.50%
60.00%
D7 Online PC software
37.00%
100.00%
D8 Digital books
E-book utilization rate 13.92%
47.90%
D9 Remote management
Reduction of transportation use
Utilization rate
34.00%
100.00%
(continued)