76
4 Testing and Validating Against Historic Spills
Fig. 4.11 Mortality for seabirds estimated from the 20 oil drift simulations performed in OSCAR
for a Seabirds in the Gulf of Mexico, b Common murre in the Prince William Sound and c Pigeon
guillemot in the PWS. Vertical bars show the 95% credible interval from the Monte Carlo Simulations. The larger error bars for seabirds in the Gulf of Mexico are primarily due to differences in
density (D) used in the Monte Carlo Simulations (cf. Table 4.3)
4 Testing and Validating Against Historic Spills
Fig. 4.11 Mortality for seabirds estimated from the 20 oil drift simulations performed in OSCAR
for a Seabirds in the Gulf of Mexico, b Common murre in the Prince William Sound and c Pigeon
guillemot in the PWS. Vertical bars show the 95% credible interval from the Monte Carlo Simulations. The larger error bars for seabirds in the Gulf of Mexico are primarily due to differences in
density (D) used in the Monte Carlo Simulations (cf. Table 4.3)