Table 2.2
Average change (%) over the basin in monthly precipitation based on the ensemble average of projections from
five GCMs
Scenario
(s)
Month!Time
Series#
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
RCP
2.6
2021–2040
5.3177
À8.0965
38.438
14.881
1.9272
À8.1729 À3.4697 14.89
28.034
105.22
81.867
À10.7
2041–2060
À11.849
À12.077
51.59
25.368
16.912
13.43
15.213
2.1904 26.354
102.14
39.415
À15.045
2061–2080
À9.0212 À13.148
112.77
37.856
57.703
39.105
9.507
6.6049 14.656
49.818 40.381
À34.59
2081–2100
16.368
À2.2717 113.2
55.793
80.393
43.846
8.707
À2.698
5.7018
15.546 32.29
À24.092
RCP
4.5
2021–2040
À24.175
À21.687
À7.818
2.2046
À4.4468 À11.752
1.5142 16.279
32.009
96.54
26.64
À32.543
2041–2060
0.389
12.635
À2.7851
7.0784 15.952
À3.3284
6.7154 15.149
28.909
92.412 54.735
À30.975
2061–2080
14.474
À26.518
125.55
51.775
32.552
32.162
14.552
9.6737 28.586
72.137 34.042
À27.755
2081–2100
0.9783
À24.606
177.4
67.636
47.372
38.241
20.583
5.7741 15.626
38.6
21.718
À24.27
RCP
6.0
2021–2040
À11.912
À5.7138
À3.5592 À1.4602
2.3942
0.4273
À2.7658 12.619
21.524
86.958 98.327
À24.747
2041–2060
13.918
À6.1541
27.628
8.8437
À1.3724
7.4322
6.8257
9.4104 24.903
83.828 17.795
À20.839
2061–2080
À25.511
À51.439
119.75
6.8468 16.398
24.867
16.096
8.5443 15.631
42.699 19.795
À24.161
2081–2100
À19.001
À23.618
186.32
24.27
29.671
30.118
23.34
6.6665
6.6081
38.057 22.097
À27.606
RCP
8.5
2021–2040
11.536
À12.427
30.248
12.284
À2.0738 À14.416
À1.6894 12.167
26.838
119.8
71.529
À0.9812
2041–2060
À8.9766 À29.492
12.529
3.8044
3.6023
9.754
10.139
17.192
21.492
85.183 46.437
À34.123
2061–2080
À39.962
À33.739
107.87
25.361
À0.2554
12.435
33.343
11.363
28.801
89.178 35.065
À29.709
2081–2100
À41.773
À33.493
91.442
16.265
39.192
26.44
22.773
19.198
34.09
60.725 88.098
À33.042
Précédent

- 46/305

Suivant