18 Incomplete Pairwise Comparisons Method for Estimating …
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18.2 General Statement of the Problem
To select a hub airport, it was decided to rank airports within a radius of 300 km [4] in
the terms of the integral risk [5] of airport modernization. This approach was chosen
because the cost of modernizing airports should be determined after the preliminary
selection of candidate airports for the feasibility of any investment. It is obvious, for
example, that airports outside the 300 km zone will not unload MAH due to the fact
that it is more profitable for passengers to fly by plane than to use an alternative mode
of transport such as a train, intercity bus, taxi, and others. Integral risk is determined
on the basis of a list of criteria and particular risks for each of the criteria for each
airport in question. In this regard, the task is extremely important for obtaining the
final result.
First, experts were involved to form lists of criteria that hypothetically may influence the magnitude of the defined risk. As a result, a list of criteria is formulated in
Table 18.1.
Despite a large number of criteria, due to their diversity and the requirement to
take into account the opinions of experts from different fields, the paired comparisons
method [6] was chosen to evaluate the criteria, allowing experts to set the estimates in
a form of intervals while skipping pairs of objects that seem difficult to compare. The
method of incomplete pair comparisons [7] chosen to solve the problem was applied
to solve complex, multi-criteria decision-making problems with a large number of
criteria, both for choosing infrastructure facilities, assessing their safety, and for
solving civil aviation problems [8].
Table 18.1 Airport rating criteria
No.
Criteria
Acronyms
1
Optimal distance from the center of Moscow
ODC
2
Airport capacity
ACC
3
Quality and quantity of runways
QQRC
4
Aerodrome infrastructure
ADIC
5
Airport infrastructure
APIC
6
Land resources
LRC
7
Infrastructure of other transport
ITC
8
Cargo terminal quality
CTC
9
International status
ISC
10
Co-location
CLC
11
Ownership form
OSC
261
18.2 General Statement of the Problem
To select a hub airport, it was decided to rank airports within a radius of 300 km [4] in
the terms of the integral risk [5] of airport modernization. This approach was chosen
because the cost of modernizing airports should be determined after the preliminary
selection of candidate airports for the feasibility of any investment. It is obvious, for
example, that airports outside the 300 km zone will not unload MAH due to the fact
that it is more profitable for passengers to fly by plane than to use an alternative mode
of transport such as a train, intercity bus, taxi, and others. Integral risk is determined
on the basis of a list of criteria and particular risks for each of the criteria for each
airport in question. In this regard, the task is extremely important for obtaining the
final result.
First, experts were involved to form lists of criteria that hypothetically may influence the magnitude of the defined risk. As a result, a list of criteria is formulated in
Table 18.1.
Despite a large number of criteria, due to their diversity and the requirement to
take into account the opinions of experts from different fields, the paired comparisons
method [6] was chosen to evaluate the criteria, allowing experts to set the estimates in
a form of intervals while skipping pairs of objects that seem difficult to compare. The
method of incomplete pair comparisons [7] chosen to solve the problem was applied
to solve complex, multi-criteria decision-making problems with a large number of
criteria, both for choosing infrastructure facilities, assessing their safety, and for
solving civil aviation problems [8].
Table 18.1 Airport rating criteria
No.
Criteria
Acronyms
1
Optimal distance from the center of Moscow
ODC
2
Airport capacity
ACC
3
Quality and quantity of runways
QQRC
4
Aerodrome infrastructure
ADIC
5
Airport infrastructure
APIC
6
Land resources
LRC
7
Infrastructure of other transport
ITC
8
Cargo terminal quality
CTC
9
International status
ISC
10
Co-location
CLC
11
Ownership form
OSC