156
7.8.4 Edible Oil Crops Production-Consumption Gap
Under climate change in 2030, Zohry and Ouda (2018a) indicated that the total
cultivated area of cotton, sunflower, soybean, maize and flax could be increased
through implementing intercropping systems and cultivation of three-crop
sequences, compared to its value under traditional cultivation. However, it will be
lower than the cultivated area attained under intensive cropping, compared to its
value in 2015. The cultivated area of these five crops will increase to 1,836,714 ha,
which represent an increase by 89% of the total cultivated area, compared to the
cultivated area in 2015.
7.8.5 Summer Forage Crops Production-Consumption Gap
In 2030, the total potential cultivated area of summer forage a result of fahl clover
cultivation and intercropping cowpea with other summer crops in 2030 is expected
to be reduced from 1,382,301 ha to 1,251,567 ha, compared to the value of these
two crops under traditional cultivation in 2015, This reduction represents 9% less
than its counterpart value attained in 2015 under intensive cropping for these two
crops (Zohry and Ouda 2018b).
7.9 Conclusion
Reviewing 67 research papers previously published on the effect of climate change
on natural resources related to crops production revealed that Egypt will be vulnerable to climate change as a result of its dependence on the Nile River as the main
water resources. Furthermore, the Egyptian population is expected to increase to
reach 125 million inhabitants in the future. The expected population increase will
put more pressure on water and lands resources to produce more food to provide to
the growing population. Thus, adaptation strategies should be applied when possible to reduce the vulnerability associated with climate change.
References
Abou-Shleel SMK, Saleh SM (2011) Sensitivity of tomato crop to air temperature under climate
change conditions. J Biol Chem Environ Research Sci 6(4):421–435
Agrawala S, Moehner A, El Raey M, Conway D, van Aalst M, Hagenstad M, Smith J  (2004)
Development and climate change in Egypt: focus on coastal resources and the Nile, environment policy committee, working party on global and structural policies and working party
on development co-operation and environment, Organization for Economic co-operation and
Development (OECD)
S. Ouda and A. E.-H. Zohry
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