492
For N. obliqua the predicted impact is less dramatic with potential suitability
losses for the northern, eastern, and southern-most populations (Fig. 18.4). On the
other hand, according to the model, an increase in suitable areas is expected for this
species, mainly in most of the areas that may become unsuitable for N. alpina. In
addition, new potential areas are identified for N. obliqua toward southern latitudes
Fig. 18.3 Future (2050s) habitat suitability of Nothofagus alpina. Areas identified as suitable by
at least 15 of 31 future CMIP5 climate model projections (modified from Marchelli et al. 2017)
M. J. Pastorino et al.
For N. obliqua the predicted impact is less dramatic with potential suitability
losses for the northern, eastern, and southern-most populations (Fig. 18.4). On the
other hand, according to the model, an increase in suitable areas is expected for this
species, mainly in most of the areas that may become unsuitable for N. alpina. In
addition, new potential areas are identified for N. obliqua toward southern latitudes
Fig. 18.3 Future (2050s) habitat suitability of Nothofagus alpina. Areas identified as suitable by
at least 15 of 31 future CMIP5 climate model projections (modified from Marchelli et al. 2017)
M. J. Pastorino et al.